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John Daigle

Targets and Touches

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Week 16: AFC Targets & Touches

Wednesday, December 26, 2018


Targets and Touches will only have players’ six most recent games, regardless if they were active or on a bye. The data will be in descending order of games played.

 

All targets and touches data is compiled from Pro Football Reference. Air yards data is sourced via Josh Hermsmeyer’s AirYards.com. Cornerback and routes run data is sourced via Pro Football Focus. The AFC will be released on Tuesdays, while the NFC is published on Wednesday.

 

The goal of these articles is to give you an idea of what the usage looks like for each player within their offenses, allowing you to spot any positive or negative trends regarding how a player is being used, and most importantly — letting the numbers tell the story.

 

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Week 16 NFC Targets and Touches can be reviewed here. 

 

Baltimore Ravens

Targets: Michael Crabtree (3, 6, 4, 4, 1, 4), John Brown (1, 7, 4, 6, 3, 6), Willie Snead (8, 0, 3, 7, 6, 0), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, 1, 1, 1, 3)

 

Air Yards: John Brown (14, 70, 102, 63, 37, 96), Michael Crabtree (38, 72, 28, 43, 9, 39), Willie Snead (58, 0, 19, 73, 48, 0), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, 3, 4, -4, -5)

 

Receiving Yards: John Brown (23, 25, 0, 23, 9, 27), Michael Crabtree (7, 21, 36, 31, 0, 20), Willie Snead (51, 0, 8, 61, 58, 0), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, 6, 21, 2, 20)

 

Carries: Gus Edwards (17, 23, 21, 16, 19, 14), Lamar Jackson (27, 11, 17, 13, 18, 13), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, 8, 8, 11, 8)

 

RZ Targets: John Brown (0, 2, 0, 1, 0, 0), Michael Crabtree (0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 2), Willie Snead (2, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Gus Edwards1 (2, 5, 0, 3, 3, 1), Lamar Jackson (6, 1, 3, 4, 2, 2), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, 0, 1, 1, 2)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Brandon Carr (1-32, 4-76, 4-27, 3-30, 0-0, 5-41), Marlon Humphrey (X, X, X, 3-29, 2-13, 3-20), Jimmy Smith (2-10, 2-20, 5-46, 8-63, 3-96, 1-17)

 

Observations: Kenneth Dixon has actually out-snapped Gus Edwards 68 to 56 the past two weeks, but the latter has still dominated in opportunity with 34 touches to Dixon’s 22. Edwards’ snap rate has declined in every outing since Dixon returned in Week 13, though, painting an early picture of what we should expect from this backfield should the Ravens make the tournament. He’s a thin option on Sunday since every player at his position is going, but take a mental note of Mark Andrews’ recent usage, too. The third-round rookie has run the most routes among Baltimore’s tight ends in every game the past four weeks, setting himself up to be an enticing postseason small-slate DFS option if the Ravens do sneak in. Andrews has exploded for plays of 74, 68, 30, 29, 21, 21, and 20 yards despite his limited role in the first half of the year.

 

Buffalo Bills

Targets: Zay Jones (BYE, 0, 9, 9, 6, 9), Robert Foster (BYE, 3, 4, 8, 5, 7), Isaiah McKenzie (BYE, 3, 4, 7, 7, 8), LeSean McCoy (BYE, 1, 4, 1, X, 3), Chris Ivory (BYE, 0, 0, 1, X, X)

 

Air Yards: Zay Jones (BYE, 15, 151, 127, 138, 147), Robert Foster (BYE, 50, 142, 91, 123, 148), Isaiah McKenzie (BYE, 4, 77, 74, 40, 99), LeSean McCoy (BYE, -5, -6, -8, X, -8), Chris Ivory (BYE, 0, 0, -3, X, X)

 

Receiving Yards: Zay Jones (BYE, 0, 67, 22, 11, 67), Robert Foster (BYE, 94, 27, 104, 108, 52), Isaiah McKenzie (BYE, 11, 46, 47, 53, 8), LeSean McCoy (BYE, 7, 12, 0, X, 10), Chris Ivory (BYE, 0, 0, 0, X, X)

 

Carries: LeSean McCoy (BYE, 17, 15, 2, X, 6), Josh Allen (BYE, 13, 9, 9, 9, 5), Chris Ivory (BYE, 3, 6, 12, X, X)

 

RZ Targets: Zay Jones (BYE, 0, 1, 3, 0, 1), Robert Foster (BYE, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0), LeSean McCoy (BYE, 0, 1, 0, X, 0), Isaiah McKenzie (BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Josh Allen (BYE, 3, 0, 1, 3, 0), LeSean McCoy (BYE, 3, 2, 1, X, 1), Chris Ivory (BYE, 0, 1, 1, X, X)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Tre’Davious White (BYE, 0-0, 3-15, 3-51-1, 6-90, 0-0), Levi Wallace (BYE, 1-29, 2-11, 2-10, 2-28-1, 1-4)

 

Observations: Even with backup Chris Ivory (shoulder) out, LeSean McCoy was peculiarly benched for the first play against the Patriots and finished with merely nine touches on 31 snaps (50.8%). Keith Ford “started” and got a similar number of snaps (30) and touches (9). Despite their juicy on-paper matchup against Miami’s defense this Sunday, neither can be trusted (especially if Ivory is back). The Dolphins have, however, been diced for the seventh-most rushing yards (288) by opposing quarterbacks, setting the stage for one final opportunity to take advantage of Josh Allen’s rushing upside in 2018. He can even be stacked with Robert Foster, who accrued a team-high 148 air yards and was just fingertips away from finishing with two touchdowns and 100-plus yards rather than the 4/52 the box score shows.

 

Cincinnati Bengals

Targets: Tyler Boyd (11, 8, 8, 6, 5, X), Joe Mixon (3, 7, 2, 6, 4, 2), Giovani Bernard (4, 1, 8, 2, 2, 2), John Ross (7, 7, 3, 4, 5, 5), C.J. Uzomah (5, 13, 7, 3, 5, 5)

 

Air Yards: Tyler Boyd (142, 65, 95, 104, 91, X), John Ross (96, 115, 46, 6, 94, 23), C.J. Uzomah (53, 60, 16, 23, 62, 33), Giovani Bernard (0, 7, -6, 5, 0, -1), Joe Mixon (-1, 6, -4, -13, 11, -1)

 

Receiving Yards: Joe Mixon (38, 66, 13, 27, 1, 10), Tyler Boyd (71, 85, 97, 52, 38, X), Giovani Bernard (20, 12, 32, 13, 25, 0), C.J. Uzomah (41, 39, 33, 37, 27, 49), John Ross (27, 31, 13, 11, 6, 3)

 

Carries: Joe Mixon (12, 14, 12, 26, 27, 17), Giovani Bernard (2, 1, 5, 3, 6, 0)

 

RZ Targets: John Ross (0, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1), Joe Mixon (0, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0), Tyler Boyd (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0), C.J. Uzomah (1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1), Giovani Bernard (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Joe Mixon (2, 0, 0, 4, 7, 1), Giovani Bernard (0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: William Jackson (0-0, 2-13, 2-34, 2-9, 0-0, 3-48-1), Dre Kirkpatrick (0-0, X, 2-20, X, 2-20, 0-0), Darqueze Dennard (3-25, 1-14, 1-14, 2-28, 6-82, 4-32)

 

Observations: No observations.

 

Cleveland Browns

Targets: Jarvis Landry (BYE, 5, 9, 4, 8, 8), David Njoku (BYE, 5, 6, 4, 5, 4), Rashard Higgins (BYE, 3, 4, 3, 3, 7), Duke Johnson (BYE, 2, 3, 0, 5, 6), Antonio Callaway (BYE, 5, 6, 1, 7, 1), Nick Chubb (BYE, 3, 3, 6, 1, 3), Breshad Perriman (BYE, 1, 2, 2, 2, 4)

 

Air Yards: Jarvis Landry (BYE, 42, 146, 118, 71, 133), David Njoku (BYE, 21, 58, 49, 69, 31), Rashard Higgins (BYE, 42, 57, 34, 44, 33), Antonio Callaway (BYE, 100, 65, -2, 42, 39), Duke Johnson (BYE, 27, 11, 0, 15, 19), Nick Chubb (BYE, 9, -6, 26, 7, -5), Breshad Perriman (BYE, 4, 56, 68, 57, 96)

 

Receiving Yards: Jarvis Landry (BYE, 30, 103, 57, 37, 47), David Njoku (BYE, 63, 8, 35, 30, 73), Rashard Higgins (BYE, 24, 62, 19, 30, 60), Antonio Callaway (BYE, 62, 84, 0, 35, 0), Duke Johnson (BYE, 23, 12, 0, 25, 54), Nick Chubb (BYE, 44, 41, 17, 0, 3), Breshad Perriman (BYE, 6, 26, 81, 31, 76)

 

Carries: Nick Chubb (BYE, 28, 9, 13, 20, 19), Duke Johnson (BYE, 2, 0, 2, 4, 2)

 

RZ Targets: Jarvis Landry (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1), Antonio Callaway (BYE, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0), Duke Johnson (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2), Rashard Higgins (BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1), David Njoku (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 1, 1), Nick Chubb (BYE, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0), Breshad Perriman (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1)

 

RZ Carries: Nick Chubb (BYE, 4, 1, 2, 3, 4), Duke Johnson (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Denzel Ward (BYE, 3-23, 1-2, X, X, 3-35), T.J. Carrie (BYE, 4-26, 4-55, 3-42, 4-55, 1-28), Briean Boddy-Calhoun (BYE, 4-32, 4-20, 3-33, 7-36, 1-7)

 

Observations: Breshad Perriman saw his highest target total since Week 9 (when OC Freddie Kitchens was first promoted), but note that his role didn’t change. He stayed running the fourth-most routes (23) for Cleveland behind Jarvis Landry (36), Antonio Callaway (31), and Rashard Higgins (28). You’re on your own choosing any of them against Baltimore’s secondary, which is one of only three units to have allowed single-digit touchdowns to opposing wideouts this year.

 

Denver Broncos

Targets: Courtland Sutton (6, 4, 7, 6, 6, 10), Phillip Lindsay (5, 0, 1, 7, 6, 2), Devontae Booker (1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 5), Matt LaCosse (2, 4, 1, 1, 6, X), Tim Patrick (1, 0, 0, 10, 8, 5), DaeSean Hamilton (2, 2, 0, 7, 12, 9)    

 

Air Yards: Courtland Sutton (72, 31, 97, 46, 61, 172), Phillip Lindsay (-10, 0, -2, 6, -2, -3), Devontae Booker (3, 13, 13, 0, 11, 12), Matt LaCosse (-3, 35, -2, -1, 28, X), Tim Patrick (5, 0, 0, 106, 59, 67), DaeSean Hamilton (9, 22, 0, 41, 125, 82)  

 

Receiving Yards: Courtland Sutton (78, 14, 85, 14, 42, 65), Phillip Lindsay (27, 0, 2, 21, 20, 11), Devontae Booker (4, 6, 38, 11, 17, 21), Matt LaCosse (9, 34, 0, 3, 43, X), Tim Patrick (0, 0, 0, 85, 65, 44), DaeSean Hamilton (4, 13, 0, 47, 46, 40)    

 

Carries: Phillip Lindsay (11, 14, 19, 14, 14, 10), Royce Freeman (7, 6, 12, 6, 4, 7), Devontae Booker (0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 3)

 

RZ Targets: Devontae Booker (0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1), Courtland Sutton (0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 2), Phillip Lindsay (1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0), Matt LaCosse (1, 0, 0, 0, 0, X), DaeSean Hamilton (0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1)   

 

RZ Carries: Phillip Lindsay (4, 1, 1, 3, 3, 1), Royce Freeman (5, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0), Devontae Booker (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Isaac Yiadom (X, 2-32, 1-11, 5-31-1, X, 3-27), Bradley Roby (1-19, 9-167-1, 2-32-1, 2-24, 3-36, 1-3), Tramaine Brock (1-29, 2-4, X, X, 3-48-1, 4-48)

 

Observations: The Broncos had nine whole days to rest, which was clearly enough time for Courtland Sutton’s ailing quad to heal. In what was technically his first fully healthy game since Emmanuel Sanders (Achilles’, IR) went down, Sutton amassed team-highs in targets (10), air yards (172), and routes run (39). DaeSean Hamilton kept his high floor anyhow, seeing nine targets on an equivalent amount of routes. Both unfortunately finish against a Chargers buzzsaw-unit that’s limited opposing wideouts to the seventh-fewest fantasy points on the year. DFSers are better off pivoting towards Royce Freeman (or Devontae Booker in PPR formats) as cheap volume-based cash game options in place of Phillip Lindsay (hand, out). Booker has the higher floor given that he’s doubled up Freeman on routes (198 to 96) and catches (33 to 6) this year, but the latter will remain soaking up fruitful early-down/goal line reps.

 

Houston Texans

Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (6, 6, 12, 10, 11, 12), Lamar Miller (5, 1, 1, 6, 0, X), Keke Coutee (9, 2, X, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (0, 1, 0, 1, 2, 5), DeAndre Carter (0, 1, 6, 1, 3, 7), D’Onta Foreman (X, X, X, X, X, 2)

 

Air Yards: DeAndre Hopkins (58, 117, 116, 101, 157, 133), Lamar Miller (-6, -2, 1, -8, 0, X), Keke Coutee (50, 8, X, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (0, 2, 0, 3, 6, 14), DeAndre Carter (0, 14, 1, -7, 20, 44), D’Onta Foreman (X, X, X, X, X, 18)

 

Receiving Yards: DeAndre Hopkins (56, 74, 91, 36, 170, 104), Lamar Miller (22, 5, 12, 19, 0, X), Keke Coutee (77, 14, X, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (0, 13, 0, 0, 9, 26), DeAndre Carter (0, 14, 32, 0, 55, 61), D’Onta Foreman (X, X, X, X, X, 28)

 

Carries: Lamar Miller (20, 12, 19, 14, 3, X), Deshaun Watson (3, 9, 7, 5, 4, 8), Alfred Blue (8, 13, 13, 6, 9, 4), D’Onta Foreman (X, X, X, X, X, 7)

 

RZ Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (1, 0, 0, 4, 2, 1), Alfred Blue (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0), Keke Coutee (2, 0, X, X, X, X), Lamar Miller (1, 0, 0, 0, 0, X)

 

RZ Carries: Lamar Miller (3, 1, 1, 2, 2, X), Deshaun Watson (0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 3), Alfred Blue (0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 0), D’Onta Foreman (X, X, X, X, X, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Jonathan Joseph (2-8, 3-88-1, 1-7, 2-48, 4-22, 3-27), Kareem Jackson (4-68, 0-0, 5-67, 9-87, 3-25, 2-17), Deante Burton (X, X, X, X, X, 5-55)

 

Observations: Alfred Blue had previously buoyed Lamar Miller’s absences into touch counts of 28, 25, and 14 in the last three seasons, but D’Onta Foreman’s 2018 debut mucked that up. Blue mustered eight touches on 34 snaps (52.3%) in a 1B timeshare with Foreman (31, 47.7%), who scored the only touchdown between the two. Miller is reportedly “trending upwards” this week, making this backfield an easy stay-away across all formats. UDFA Vyncint Smith stood out with an impressive catch that hit pay dirt, but his 24 routes still paled in comparison to former UDFA DeAndre Carter’s 40 once Demaryius Thomas (Achilles’, IR) was carted off. Carter's strictly a WR4/DFS floor-play if Keke Coutee (hamstring, infinitely questionable) remains out.

 

Indianapolis Colts

Targets: Eric Ebron (0, 7, 16, 8, 3, 5), T.Y. Hilton (9, 10, 13, 12, 8, 8), Nyheim Hines (3, 2, 9, 5, 6, 5), Marlon Mack (2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 3)

 

Air Yards: T.Y. Hilton (110, 119, 109, 154, 142, 100), Eric Ebron (0, 53, 75, 67, 36, 77), Nyheim Hines (19, -3, 6, 46, 14, 34), Marlon Mack (3, 1, 2, 15, 0, 3)

 

Receiving Yards: Eric Ebron (0, 45, 81, 65, 8, 28), T.Y. Hilton (155, 185, 77, 199, 85, 138), Nyheim Hines (20, 22, 50, 16, 45, 41), Marlon Mack (8, 11, 6, 0, 10, 4)

 

Carries: Marlon Mack (16, 15, 8, 14, 27, 12), Nyheim Hines (5, 9, 4, 3, 6, 2)

 

RZ Targets: Eric Ebron (1, 2, 1, 1, 0, 0), T.Y. Hilton (1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0), Nyheim Hines (0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 2), Marlon Mack (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Marlon Mack (3, 1, 0, 1, 7, 4), Nyheim Hines (2, 3, 0, 1, 1, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Kenny Moore II (10-83-1, 3-9, 7-55, 4-22, 0-0, 4-36), Pierre Desir (3-44, 3-83-1, 2-8, 1-10, 4-37, 4-79), Quincy Wilson (2-24, 0-0, 3-29, 0-0, 3-24, 1-17)

 

Observations: With Eric Ebron still in the league’s concussion protocol, the Colts could be down to just blocking TEs Ryan Hewitt and Mo Alie-Cox, as well as recent returnee Erik Swoope. Swoope was actually with the team earlier this year, so he’s familiar with coach Frank Reich’s offensive scheme. Rather than putting your blind faith into a season-long journeyman fresh off the practice squad, though, Marlon Mack (and Nyheim Hines to a lesser extent) are the correct pivots since Indy’s collective tight end strength will suddenly become run-blocking rather than route-running (as it was with Jack Doyle and Ebron healthy). Sunday night is essentially a win-and-in for both the Colts and Titans, so expect Indianapolis to use any means necessary to move on another week.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Targets: Dede Westbrook (4, 4, 5, 10, 5, 8), Donte Moncrief (2, 4, 4, 10, 2, 4), T.J. Yeldon (3, 4, 8, 1, 3, X), Leonard Fournette (2, 3, X, 3, 4, 5)

 

Air Yards: Donte Moncrief (27, 44, 30, 142, 63, 23), Dede Westbrook (59, 77, 70, 105, 30, 36), T.J. Yeldon (-3, 10, 5, 1, -1, X), Leonard Fournette (11, -12, X, -1, -6, 14)

 

Receiving Yards: Dede Westbrook (19, 44, 25, 88, 21, 45), Donte Moncrief (11, 29, 40, 47, 0, 43), T.J. Yeldon (9, 17, 49, 10, 5, X), Leonard Fournette (46, 13, X, 5, 18, 28)

 

Carries: Leonard Fournette (28, 18, X, 14, 11, 18), T.J. Yeldon (5, 3, 8, 1, 3, X), Carlos Hyde (8, 10, 13, 0, X, 8)

 

RZ Targets: Dede Westbrook (0, 1, 0, 2, 0, 2), Leonard Fournette (0, 0, X, 0, 0, 1), T.J. Yeldon (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, X), Donte Moncrief (0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Leonard Fournette (2, 4, X, 4, 0, 3), T.J. Yeldon (0, 0, 1, 0, 0, X), Carlos Hyde (0, 2, 2, 0, X, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Jalen Ramsey (8-158-1, 1-32, 5-54, 2-21, 2-20, 3-32), D.J. Hayden (7-52, 1-6, 6-48, 3-16, 4-18, 2-14), A.J. Bouye (4-58, 1-19, 6-34, 4-45, 0-0, 2-12)

 

Observations: Fantasy players (including myself) should’ve known something was amiss the moment T.J. Yeldon was healthy scratched. With only Carlos Hyde and Dave Williams — two players with limited skills — left to soak up touches behind Leonard Fournette, the latter handled 18 carries and 100% of the team’s backfield targets (5) on 49-of-67 snaps (73%). Hyde got eight carries but inevitably ran only 13 routes (and got zero targets) to Fournette’s 21. Jacksonville’s inactives will obviously need to be monitored in Week 17 as a second absence for Yeldon (the team’s only pass-catching back) would likely mean another full-blown outing for Fournette to finish the year strong.


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