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John Daigle

Targets and Touches

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Week 15: AFC Targets & Touches

Tuesday, December 18, 2018


Targets and Touches will only have players’ six most recent games, regardless if they were active or on a bye. The data will be in descending order of games played.

 

All targets and touches data is compiled from Pro Football Reference. Air yards data is sourced via Josh Hermsmeyer’s AirYards.com. Cornerback and routes run data is sourced via Pro Football Focus. The AFC will be released on Tuesdays, while the NFC is published on Wednesday.

 

The goal of these articles is to give you an idea of what the usage looks like for each player within their offenses, allowing you to spot any positive or negative trends regarding how a player is being used, and most importantly — letting the numbers tell the story.

 

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Baltimore Ravens

Targets: Michael Crabtree (7, 3, 6, 4, 4, 1), John Brown (6, 1, 7, 4, 6, 3), Willie Snead (8, 8, 0, 3, 7, 6), Ty Montgomery (X, 0, 3, 7, 3, X), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 1, 1, 1)

 

Air Yards: John Brown (38, 14, 70, 102, 63, 37), Michael Crabtree (85, 38, 72, 28, 43, 9), Willie Snead (32, 58, 0, 19, 73, 48), Ty Montgomery (X, 0, 3, 21, 3, X), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 3, 4, -4)

 

Receiving Yards: John Brown (15, 23, 25, 0, 23, 9), Michael Crabtree (32, 7, 21, 36, 31, 0), Willie Snead (58, 51, 0, 8, 61, 58), Ty Montgomery (X, 0, 13, 42, 1, X), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 6, 21, 2)

 

Carries: Gus Edwards (0, 17, 23, 21, 16, 19), Lamar Jackson (5, 27, 11, 17, 13, 18), Ty Montgomery (X, 1, 8, 3, 2, X), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 8, 8, 11)

 

RZ Targets: John Brown (1, 0, 2, 0, 1, 0), Michael Crabtree (1, 0, 2, 0, 0, 0), Willie Snead (0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 2), Ty Montgomery (X, 0, 0, 1, 1, X)

 

RZ Carries: Gus Edwards (0, 2, 5, 0, 3, 3), Lamar Jackson (1, 6, 1, 3, 4, 2), Kenneth Dixon (X, X, X, 0, 1, 1), Ty Montgomery (X, X, 0, 0, 2, X)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Brandon Carr (4-80, 1-32, 4-76, 4-27, 3-30, 0-0), Marlon Humphrey (X, X, X, X, 3-29, 2-13), Jimmy Smith (3-27, 2-10, 2-20, 5-46, 8-63, 3-96)

 

Observations: Ty Montgomery was a surprising healthy scratch on Sunday morning, leaving only Gus Edwards, Kenneth Dixon, and Javorius Allen in Baltimore’s backfield. Per usual, Allen was an afterthought on just three snaps and has now only touched the ball twice over his last five games. Edwards out-touched Dixon 19-12, including 2-0 inside the 10-yard line, but it’s worth noting Dixon’s on-field usage quietly continued surging. He hit three-week highs in snaps (39, 51.3%), carries (11), and routes run (18) for the second consecutive game, whereas Edwards’ snap rate (33, 43.4%) decreased again. The latter still projects to out-carry Dixon Saturday against the Chargers, but the duo’s workload has become even to the point that it’s now possible to leverage one over the other (or hope Dixon’s passing game usage trumps Edwards’ carries) in short DFS slates. The rookie still qualifies as a low-floor RB3/flex this week.

 

Buffalo Bills

Targets: Zay Jones (11, BYE, 0, 9, 9, 6), Robert Foster (4, BYE, 3, 4, 8, 5), Isaiah McKenzie (1, BYE, 3, 4, 7, 7), LeSean McCoy (1, BYE, 1, 4, 1, X), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 0, 0, 1, X)

 

Air Yards: Zay Jones (124, BYE, 15, 151, 127, 138), Robert Foster (106, BYE, 50, 142, 91, 123), Isaiah McKenzie (-4, BYE, 4, 77, 74, 40), LeSean McCoy (1, BYE, -5, -6, -8, X), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 0, 0, -3, X)

 

Receiving Yards: Zay Jones (93, BYE, 0, 67, 22, 11), Robert Foster (105, BYE, 94, 27, 104, 108), Isaiah McKenzie (14, BYE, 11, 46, 47, 53), LeSean McCoy (5, BYE, 7, 12, 0, X), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 0, 0, 0, X)

 

Carries: LeSean McCoy (26, BYE, 17, 15, 2, X), Josh Allen (X, BYE, 13, 9, 9, 9), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 3, 6, 12, X)

 

RZ Targets: Zay Jones (2, BYE, 0, 1, 3, 0), Robert Foster (1, BYE, 0, 0, 1, 0), LeSean McCoy (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, X), Isaiah McKenzie (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Josh Allen (X, BYE, 3, 0, 1, 3), LeSean McCoy (5, BYE, 3, 2, 1, X), Chris Ivory (X, BYE, 0, 1, 1, X)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Tre’Davious White (2-8, BYE, 0-0, 3-15, 3-51-1, 6-90), Taron Johnson (1-0, BYE, 2-16, 2-21, 0-0, 0-0), Levi Wallace (0-0, BYE, 1-29, 2-11, 2-10, 2-28-1)

 

Observations: Darius Slay followed Zay Jones on the outside Sunday, which allowed ex-Crimson Tide UDFA Robert Foster to buoy Mike Ford’s effortless coverage into the receiver’s second straight 100-yard performance. Even so, Zay’s clear downfield usage and higher target share the past three weeks (25%) are marks to take advantage of in DFS on Sunday. Running a majority of his routes from the left side, Foster (6’2”, 196-pounds) should also garner Stephon Gilmore’s shadow coverage despite Detroit’s decision to stick its best corner on Jones. Consider Foster a confident WR3/flex against the Patriots, with Jones more of an opportunity-based WR4 and DFS flier.

 

Cincinnati Bengals

Targets: Tyler Boyd (4, 11, 8, 8, 6, 5), Joe Mixon (2, 3, 7, 2, 6, 4), Giovani Bernard (3, 4, 1, 8, 2, 2), John Ross (6, 7, 7, 3, 4, 5), C.J. Uzomah (4, 5, 13, 7, 3, 5)

 

Air Yards: Tyler Boyd (18, 142, 65, 95, 104, 91), John Ross (98, 96, 115, 46, 6, 94), C.J. Uzomah (29, 53, 60, 16, 23, 62), Giovani Bernard (6, 0, 7, -6, 5, 0), Joe Mixon (1, -1, 6, -4, -13, 11)

 

Receiving Yards: Joe Mixon (24, 38, 66, 13, 27, 1), Tyler Boyd (65, 71, 85, 97, 52, 38), Giovani Bernard (30, 20, 12, 32, 13, 25), C.J. Uzomah (23, 41, 39, 33, 37, 27), John Ross (39, 27, 31, 13, 11, 6)

 

Carries: Joe Mixon (11, 12, 14, 12, 26, 27), Giovani Bernard (2, 2, 1, 5, 3, 6)

 

RZ Targets: John Ross (1, 0, 2, 1, 1, 1), Joe Mixon (0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 1), Tyler Boyd (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1), C.J. Uzomah (0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1), Giovani Bernard (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Joe Mixon (1, 2, 0, 0, 4, 7), Giovani Bernard (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: William Jackson (4-24-1, 0-0, 2-13, 2-34, 2-9, 0-0), Dre Kirkpatrick (1-2, 0-0, X, 2-20, X, 2-20), Darqueze Dennard (X, 3-25, 1-14, 1-14, 2-28, 6-82)

 

Observations: Tyler Boyd reportedly suffered a “low-grade MCL sprain” against the Raiders, which likely puts him down for the year. The Bengals will presumably move forward with John Ross, Cody Core, and Alex Erickson in three-wide sets, with Auden Tate and Josh Malone filling in behind them. Rather than sucking it up and rostering any of that group, though, it’s only worth getting exposure to this team through Joe Mixon or the opposing defense. Mixon for instance handled 29-of-37 backfield touches (78.3%) on 52 workhorse snaps (65%) Sunday. Now having averaged 26.5 carries and five targets in Cincinnati’s past two games, he’s an unbenchable season-long commodity for his usage alone. He’s a potential fade in DFS tournaments since the Bengals’ lack of offensive explosion could lead to an out-of-hand game script on the road in Cleveland this week.

 

Cleveland Browns

Targets: Jarvis Landry (5, BYE, 5, 9, 4, 8), David Njoku (1, BYE, 5, 6, 4, 5), Rashard Higgins (1, BYE, 3, 4, 3, 3), Duke Johnson (4, BYE, 2, 3, 0, 5), Antonio Callaway (2, BYE, 5, 6, 1, 7), Nick Chubb (3, BYE, 3, 3, 6, 1), Breshad Perriman (2, BYE, 1, 2, 2, 2)

 

Air Yards: Jarvis Landry (62, BYE, 42, 146, 118, 71), David Njoku (15, BYE, 21, 58, 49, 69), Rashard Higgins (28, BYE, 42, 57, 34, 44), Antonio Callaway (25, BYE, 100, 65, -2, 42), Duke Johnson (1, BYE, 27, 11, 0, 15), Nick Chubb (11, BYE, 9, -6, 26, 7), Breshad Perriman (24, BYE, 4, 56, 68, 57)

 

Receiving Yards: Jarvis Landry (22, BYE, 30, 103, 57, 37), Rashard Higgins (28, BYE, 24, 62, 19, 30), Antonio Callaway (39, BYE, 62, 84, 0, 35), David Njoku (18, BYE, 63, 8, 35, 30), Duke Johnson (78, BYE, 23, 12, 0, 25), Nick Chubb (33, BYE, 44, 41, 17, 0), Breshad Perriman (33, BYE, 6, 26, 81, 31)

 

Carries: Nick Chubb (20, BYE, 28, 9, 13, 20), Duke Johnson (3, BYE, 2, 0, 2, 4)

 

RZ Targets: Jarvis Landry (1, BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1), Antonio Callaway (0, BYE, 2, 0, 0, 1), Duke Johnson (1, BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0), Rashard Higgins (0, BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0), David Njoku (0, BYE, 1, 0, 0, 1), Nick Chubb (1, BYE, 2, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Nick Chubb (1, BYE, 4, 1, 2, 3), Duke Johnson (1, BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Denzel Ward (4-46, BYE, 3-23, 1-2, X, X), T.J. Carrie (5-43, BYE, 4-26, 4-55, 3-42, 4-55), Briean Boddy-Calhoun (7-68, BYE, 4-32, 4-20, 3-33, 7-36)

 

Observations: Jarvis Landry busted with 6.7 fantasy points on a team-high eight targets on Saturday. That amount may seem encouraging, but it’s still on par with the 6.3 looks he’s averaged in six games under OC Freddie Kitchens. He averaged 11.8 per game under Hue Jackson/Todd Haley. Same goes for Breshad Perriman, who got there on one 31-yard bomb but ultimately ran the fifth-most routes (13) for Cleveland. Sunday’s shaping up to be an eruption spot for Nick Chubb among all, anyhow, as the Browns are currently favored by a touchdown (-7) at home. Prior to bottling up Doug Martin on nine measly carries last week, Cincinnati’s defense was smashed by James Conner (19/111/2), Kareem Hunt (15/86/1), Peyton Barber (19/85/1), Alvin Kamara/Mark Ingram(25/160/2), Gus Edwards (17/115/1), Nick Chubb (28/84/1), Phillip Lindsay (19/157/2), and Austin Ekeler (15/66/1) on the ground in their previous eight games.

 

Denver Broncos

Targets: Courtland Sutton (BYE, 6, 4, 7, 6, 6), Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 5, 0, 1, 7, 6), Devontae Booker (BYE, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3), Matt LaCosse (BYE, 2, 4, 1, 1, 6), Tim Patrick (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 10, 8), DaeSean Hamilton (BYE, 2, 2, 0, 7, 12)    

 

Air Yards: Courtland Sutton (BYE, 72, 31, 97, 46, 61), Phillip Lindsay (BYE, -10, 0, -2, 6, -2), Devontae Booker (BYE, 3, 13, 13, 0, 11), Matt LaCosse (BYE, -3, 35, -2, -1, 28), Tim Patrick (BYE, 5, 0, 0, 106, 59), DaeSean Hamilton (BYE, 9, 22, 0, 41, 125)  

 

Receiving Yards: Courtland Sutton (BYE, 78, 14, 85, 14, 42), Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 27, 0, 2, 21, 20), Devontae Booker (BYE, 4, 6, 38, 11, 17), Matt LaCosse (BYE, 9, 34, 0, 3, 43), Tim Patrick (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 85, 65), DaeSean Hamilton (BYE, 4, 13, 0, 47, 46)    

 

Carries: Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 11, 14, 19, 14, 14), Royce Freeman (BYE, 7, 6, 12, 6, 4), Devontae Booker (BYE, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0)

 

RZ Targets: Devontae Booker (BYE, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1), Courtland Sutton (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0), Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0), Matt LaCosse (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0), DaeSean Hamilton (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0)   

 

RZ Carries: Phillip Lindsay (BYE, 4, 1, 1, 3, 3), Royce Freeman (BYE, 5, 0, 0, 0, 1), Devontae Booker (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Isaac Yiadom (X, X, 2-32, 1-11, 5-31-1, X), Bradley Roby (BYE, 1-19, 9-167-1, 2-32-1, 2-24, 3-36), Tramaine Brock (BYE, 1-29, 2-4, X, X, 3-48-1)

 

Observations: Without Emmanuel Sanders the past two weeks, Denver’s receiving corps has been whittled down to Tim Patrick, DaeSean Hamilton, and Courtland Sutton. The latter of that trio has admittedly been in and out of the lineup with a thigh injury in this recent stretch, but still notably ranks third on the team with just 11 targets in that span. Hamilton meanwhile has been favored in the slot, building a team-high 23% target share on 96 routes run since Week 14. Now suddenly boasting a high floor to go along with his impressive 125 air yards last week, Hamilton’s the receiver to lean on most in fantasy championship games (and DFS slates that include Monday). Only the Niners have allowed more receiving touchdowns (22) to opposing wideouts than the Raiders (20).

 

Houston Texans

Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (BYE, 6, 6, 12, 10, 11), Demaryius Thomas (BYE, 0, 5, 5, 6, 8), Lamar Miller (BYE, 5, 1, 1, 6, 0), Keke Coutee (BYE, 9, 2, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 1, 0, 1, 2)

 

Air Yards: DeAndre Hopkins (BYE, 58, 117, 116, 101, 157), Demaryius Thomas (BYE, 0, 32, 65, 66, 36), Lamar Miller (BYE, -6, -2, 1, -8, 0), Keke Coutee (BYE, 50, 8, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 2, 0, 3, 6)

 

Receiving Yards: DeAndre Hopkins (BYE, 56, 74, 91, 36, 170), Demaryius Thomas (BYE, 0, 38, 32, 48, 59), Lamar Miller (BYE, 22, 5, 12, 19, 0), Keke Coutee (BYE, 77, 14, X, X, X), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 13, 0, 0, 9)

 

Carries: Lamar Miller (BYE, 20, 12, 19, 14, 3), Deshaun Watson (BYE, 3, 9, 7, 5, 4), Alfred Blue (BYE, 8, 13, 13, 6, 9)

 

RZ Targets: DeAndre Hopkins (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 4, 2), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1), Keke Coutee (BYE, 2, 0, X, X, X), Demaryius Thomas (BYE, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0), Lamar Miller (BYE, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Lamar Miller (BYE, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2), Deshaun Watson (BYE, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0), Alfred Blue (BYE, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Jonathan Joseph (BYE, 2-8, 3-88-1, 1-7, 2-48, 4-22), Kareem Jackson (BYE, 4-68, 0-0, 5-67, 9-87, 3-25), Shareece Wright (BYE, 3-28, 1-13, 2-35, 3-52-1, 3-43-1)

 

Observations: Without Keke Coutee (hamstring) available, DeAndre Hopkins continued surging as Houston’s only receiving threat. In four games without Will Fuller (torn ACL, IR) and Coutee since Week 9, Hopkins has seen target totals of 12, 12, 10, and 11 -- a 38% share. Hopkins is still a top-two option against Philly’s makeshift secondary, which has allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts, no matter Coutee’s (game-time decision) status, but he’ll be the unequivocal WR1 in Week 16 if the rookie’s ruled out. Only concern would be the pass protection of Houston’s offensive line, which has allowed the second-highest Adjusted Sack Rate (10.8%) on the year.

 

Indianapolis Colts

Targets: Eric Ebron (3, 0, 7, 16, 8, 3), T.Y. Hilton (7, 9, 10, 13, 12, 8), Nyheim Hines (4, 3, 2, 9, 5, 6), Marlon Mack (2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1)

 

Air Yards: T.Y. Hilton (71, 110, 119, 109, 154, 142), Eric Ebron (38, 0, 53, 75, 67, 36), Nyheim Hines (11, 19, -3, 6, 46, 14), Marlon Mack (-2, 3, 1, 2, 15, 0)

 

Receiving Yards: Eric Ebron (69, 0, 45, 81, 65, 8), T.Y. Hilton (77, 155, 185, 77, 199, 85), Nyheim Hines (19, 20, 22, 50, 16, 45), Marlon Mack (9, 8, 11, 6, 0, 10)

 

Carries: Marlon Mack (12, 16, 15, 8, 14, 27), Nyheim Hines (3, 5, 9, 4, 3, 6)

 

RZ Targets: Eric Ebron (2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 0), T.Y. Hilton (1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1), Nyheim Hines (0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0), Marlon Mack (1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RZ Carries: Marlon Mack (0, 3, 1, 0, 1, 7), Nyheim Hines (2, 2, 3, 0, 1, 1)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Kenny Moore II (9-74, 10-83-1, 3-9, 7-55, 4-22, 0-0), Pierre Desir (0-0, 3-44, 3-83-1, 2-8, 1-10, 4-37), Quincy Wilson (5-59, 2-24, 0-0, 3-29, 0-0, 3-24)

 

Observations: Marlon Mack may be in a 60-40 on-field timeshare with Nyheim Hines the past two weeks, but the former’s opportunities continue to be a no-contest. Mack has handled 42-of-58 backfield touches (72.4%) since Week 14, including 100% of the team’s carries inside the 10-yard line. He’s in another low-end RB1 smash spot this week as the Colts host the Giants as heavy home favorites (-9). Don’t fret Eric Ebron’s three targets against the Cowboys, either. With Indy unpredictably leading by two scores for a majority of the afternoon, Mo Alie-Cox was used to run-block on 31 of his season-high 40 snaps. Ebron’s on-field usage was still there, as shown by his 21 routes on Andrew Luck’s 30 dropbacks.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Targets: Dede Westbrook (10, 4, 4, 5, 10, 5), Donte Moncrief (4, 2, 4, 4, 10, 2), Keelan Cole (0, 0, 0, 2, 7, 0), T.J. Yeldon (6, 3, 4, 8, 1, 3), Leonard Fournette (5, 2, 3, X, 3, 4), D.J. Chark (2, 5, X, X, X, X)

 

Air Yards: Donte Moncrief (53, 27, 44, 30, 142, 63), Keelan Cole (0, 0, 4, 11, 76, 0), Dede Westbrook (43, 59, 77, 70, 105, 30), T.J. Yeldon (-6, -3, 10, 5, 1, -1), Leonard Fournette (-14, 11, -12, X, -1, -6), D.J. Chark (18, 28, X, X, X, X)

 

Receiving Yards: Keelan Cole (0, 0, 0, 16, 55, 0), Dede Westbrook (30, 19, 44, 25, 88, 21), Donte Moncrief (98, 11, 29, 40, 47, 0), T.J. Yeldon (51, 9, 17, 49, 10, 5), Leonard Fournette (56, 46, 13, X, 5, 18), D.J. Chark (0, 15, X, X, X, X)

 

Carries: Leonard Fournette (24, 28, 18, X, 14, 11), T.J. Yeldon (3, 5, 3, 8, 1, 3), Carlos Hyde (3, 8, 10, 13, 0, X)

 

RZ Targets: Dede Westbrook (4, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0), Leonard Fournette (1, 0, 0, X, 0, 0), T.J. Yeldon (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0), Donte Moncrief (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0), Keelan Cole (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0), D.J. Chark (0, 0, X, X, X, X)

 

RZ Carries: Leonard Fournette (5, 2, 4, X, 4, 0), T.J. Yeldon (0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0), Carlos Hyde (0, 0, 2, 2, 0, X)

 

CB Catches-Yards-Touchdowns Allowed: Jalen Ramsey (3-53, 8-158-1, 1-32, 5-54, 2-21, 2-20), D.J. Hayden (3-28, 7-52, 1-6, 6-48, 3-16, 4-18), A.J. Bouye (X, 4-58, 1-19, 6-34, 4-45, 0-0)

 

Observations: The Jaguars inexplicably decided to limit Leonard Fournette to just 11 carries on half of the team’s snaps since … and I quote … “Dave Williams had a good week of practice.” If his usual volume were guaranteed, it would be a tremendous spot to leverage Fournette’s recency bias against Miami’s RB-friendly front-seven. Instead, the former No. 4 overall pick can’t be viewed as anything more than a dicey RB3 with RB2 upside. Sigh.


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