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Nick Mensio

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Week 10 Start 'Em or Sit 'Em

Thursday, November 8, 2018




TIGHT END

Start of the Week: Jack Doyle vs. Jaguars: Doyle returned from a five-week hip injury last time out against the Raiders and played 73.1% of the snaps while leading the Colts with seven targets, including one in the red zone which he turned into a 10-yard touchdown. The Colts are going to use Doyle more as a blocker while Eric Ebron keeps getting pass-game opportunities, but Doyle is still going to be on the field a ton and has Andrew Luck’s trust on third downs and in the scoring area. That’s more than enough to make Doyle a fine week-to-week TE1. The Jaguars are still really good defensively against all positions, but they’re a bit more vulnerable in the middle of the field. With Jalen Ramsey likely to swallow up T.Y. Hilton much of the afternoon, Doyle, Ebron, and Marlon Mack should be attacking the middle of the field. Jacksonville gave up touchdowns to Eagles TEs Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert last time out. Cole Beasley tore up the middle of the field with two scores two weeks prior to that. And Travis Kelce had 100 yards in Week 5. Doyle should be owned everywhere.

Starts

Ricky Seals-Jones at Chiefs: Josh Rosen attempted a season-high 40 passes last time out in OC Byron Leftwich’s first game as the play caller. Seals-Jones was targeted on four of those, catching two. The issue is he and veteran Jermaine Gresham are splitting time at tight end, though RSJ played a five-game-high 72.7% of the snaps and ran a season-best 37 routes. Leftwich is stressing a quick release from Rosen to protect him from the shoddy offensive line. The Chiefs have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to tight ends. David Njoku had a 4-53 day last week after his goose egg the previous game. Jeff Heuerman of the Broncos caught a touchdown versus Kansas City in Week 8 and had another potential score fall to the ground on an end-zone look. He also led Denver with 57 receiving yards when the teams met in Week 4. C.J. Uzomah scored against the Chiefs in Week 7. Rob Gronkowski had a 3-97 night in Week 6. Niles Paul and James O’Shaughnessy combined for a 10-92 day the previous week. RSJ has some streamer appeal with the Cardinals as 16.5-point underdogs likely to be throwing the ball a ton.

David Njoku vs. Falcons: After averaging nearly 10 targets per game Weeks 4-6, Njoku has seen target counts of 6 > 0 > 5 the last three outings. He’s still done well in two of those games, but he might be one of the losers with Duke Johnson stepping up more in the pass game. Jarvis Landry also has a stellar matchup as highlighted above, but there should be enough for Njoku to put up a useful line. Atlanta has allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to tight ends. Jordan Reed and Vernon Davis combined for a 9-96 day last week. O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate both caught touchdowns in Week 6. The Falcons remain without both of their starting safeties, who are on injured reserve. The 51-point total for Falcons-Browns is the fourth-highest on the board.

Vernon Davis at Bucs: As mentioned previously, Davis had a usable day against the Falcons last week, catching five balls for 62 yards as the Redskins’ second-leading receiver behind Maurice Harris. This offense is severely banged up and lacking weapons. And even at 34 years old, Davis is one of the better athletes at the position. The Bucs have been getting creamed by tight ends all year, giving up the second-most fantasy points and most catches to the position. Davis only plays about half the snaps, but ran a season-high 21 routes last week. The Bucs love getting into shootouts because their defense can’t stop anyone. I personally chose Davis off the waiver wire where I owned Kyle Rudolph in one league. There are far worse options than Davis in a game with a 51.5-point total.

Sits

Editor’s Note: We’re going to go over some streaming options at the tight end position. It’s too thin of a position with the injuries to Hunter Henry (torn ACL), Tyler Eifert (broken ankle), Will Dissly (torn patella tendon), and Delanie Walker (broken ankle). Jack Doyle recently returned from injury to help out. But Kyle Rudolph, Jeff Heuerman, and the Ravens and Texans TEs are all out on bye this week. In the “Sits” section, I’ll caution some tough matchups.

Rob Gronkowski has yet another tough draw and has missed two of the last three games with ankle and back issues. The Titans have allowed the fewest fantasy points to tight ends and are one of just two teams yet to allow a touchdown to a tight end. Gronk hasn’t had 100 yards or one touchdown since Week 1. Jared Cook crashed back to Earth last week with two catches for 20 yards against the 49ers and now gets a Chargers defense that is No. 1 in DVOA versus tight ends led by rookie Derwin James. C.J. Uzomah should see more of a target share with A.J. Green out, but his individual matchup is pretty tough with the Saints top-10 in DVOA and fantasy points allowed to tight ends.



Nick Mensio is a football writer for Rotoworld.com. The 2014 NFL season marks his third with Rotoworld. He can be found on Twitter at @NickMensio.
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