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Jonas Nader

The Week Ahead

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The Week Ahead: Week 11

Saturday, December 22, 2018


Week 11 Schedule Grid: Games Played

 

4 Games: LAL, POR

 

3 Games: ATL, BKN, BOS, CHA, CHI, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GSW, HOU, LAC, MIA, MIN, MIL, NOP, NYK, OKC, ORL, PHI, PHX, SAC, SAS, TOR, UTA, WAS

 

2 Games: IND, MEM

 

For lineup questions or fantasy advice, find me on Twitter here!

 

 

Week 11 Streaming Schedule:

 

Monday: No games on Christmas Eve

 

Christmas (5 Games): MIL @ NYK, OKC @ HOU, PHI @ BOS, LAL @ GSW, POR @ UTA

 

Wednesday (10 Games): WAS @ DET, PHX @ ORL, IND @ ATL, CHA @ BKN, TOR @ MIA, MIN @ CHI, CLE @ MEM, NOP @ DAL, DEN @ SAS, SAC @ LAC

 

Thursday (5 Games): BOS @ HOU, NYK @ MIL, LAL @ SAC, PHI @ UTA, POR @ GSW

 

Friday (10 Games): BKN @ CHA, DET @ IND, TOR @ ORL, CHI @ WAS, CLE @ MIA, ATL @ MIN, DAL @ NOP, SAS @ DEN, OKC @ PHX, LAC @ LAL

 

Saturday (9 Games): BKN @ MIL, CHA @ WAS, HOU @ NOP, CLE @ ATL, BOS @ MEM, NYK @ UTA, DEN @ PHX, GSW @ POR, SAS @ LAC

 

Sunday (6 Games): DET @ ORL, MIN @ MIA, CHI @ TOR, OKC @ DAL, PHI @ POR, SAC @ LAL


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Back-to-Backs:

 

Monday-Tuesday: None

 

Tuesday-Wednesday: None

 

Wednesday-Thursday: Kings

 

Thursday-Friday: Lakers

 

Friday-Saturday: Hawks, Nets, Hornets, Cavaliers, Nuggets, Clippers, Pelicans, Suns, Spurs, Wizards

 

Saturday-Sunday: Blazers

 

Sunday-Monday (Dec. 31): Mavs, Wolves, Thunder, Magic

 

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Schedule Notes:

 

With no games on Monday for Christmas Eve, there are two teams with four games and two teams with two games, while the rest of the league plays three times each. 

 

There are only three quality streaming days this week, or days with six games or fewer. This week they fall on Tuesday (5 Games), Thursday (5 Games) and Sunday (6 Games). 

 

The following teams have the most quality streaming days this week: Lakers (3), 76ers (3), Blazers (3), Celtics (2), Warriors (2), Rockets (2), Bucks (2), Knicks (2), Thunder (2), Kings (2), Jazz (2). 

 

The following teams play three times from Tuesday-Friday: Lakers

 

The following teams play three times from Wednesday-Saturday: Hawks, Nets, Hornets, Cavaliers, Nuggets, Clippers, Pelicans, Suns, Spurs, Wizards

 

The following teams play three times from Thursday-Sunday: Lakers, Blazers

 

 

Waiver-Wire Pickups: 

 

*These are guys you should consider keeping for the long haul. To qualify these players have to be available in at least 50% of Yahoo Leagues. 

 

Derrick Jones Jr.  (28%)- The Summer League sensation has taken advantage of several injuries in Miami, playing 21+ minutes in six straight games. He’s been the 43rd ranked player in 9-category leagues in that span, averaging 10.3 points, 8.8 rebounds, 0.5 assists, 2.2 steals, 1.5 blocks and 0.5 triples on 55% shooting. As one of the best pure athletes in the league, he combines that with his length to be a menace defensively as evidenced by his block and steal totals, and his ability to finish around the rim and dunk just about anything should keep his FG% up while his jumper continues to develop. “It’s the definition of earning the coaches’ and your teammates’ trust. That’s what he’s doing right now,” coach Erik Spoelstra said. DJJ is getting minutes at three different positions for the Heat and is a must-start player until further notice.


Kevin Huerter (13%)- The Maryland product has seen a spike in usage/touches since the Taurean Prince (ankle) injury, putting up averages of 14.2 points, 1.8 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 0.6 blocks, 1.2 steals and 2.8 triples in 32.8 minutes over his last five games. That would make him the 104th ranked player over that stretch, and there’s no reason to think his minutes will trend down until Prince comes back, which may or may not be around the new year. The Hawks open the new year with two straight 4-game weeks, so that works in his favor as well. He’s shooting over 41% from deep on the season, and even if Prince comes back earlier, it’s worth noting that Kent Bazemore’s name has constantly been in trade rumors. 


Marvin Williams (47%)- As my friend Dan Besbris would say, “Old Man Marv” is absolutely rolling right now after a brutal slump to start the season. Since returning from his shoulder injury seven games ago, Williams has been the 34th ranked player with 14.0 points, 6.7 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1.0 steals, 0.7 blocks and 3.1 triples on 47.8% shooting. And yes, this includes his scoreless dud vs. the Lakers, so it’s surprising that his ownership isn’t above 50% yet. As long as the Hornets are competitive in the East (currently the 6th seed), Williams should be locked in. 


Cody Zeller (38%)- I just raved about Williams, but Zeller has been nearly as impressive in that 7-game stretch with top-55 value. He’s averaging a well-rounded 9.7 points, 8.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks, hitting 62.8% from the field and 92.9% from the line. Almost every fantasy analyst, including myself, liked the wrong Charlotte center over the offseason, as we’ve barely seen anything from Willy Hernangomez


Monte Morris (36%)- How about this for a stat: Monte Morris is the 17th(!) ranked player in category leagues over the past five games, compiling averages of 14.4 points, 5.4 assists, 3.8 assists, 2.4 steals and 2.4 triples on 51.7% shooting with just 1.0 turnovers. Yes his value is inflated because of the recent spike in steals, but he’s absolutely worth deploying everywhere right now. Could his value come crashing down when the Nuggets get a guy like Will Barton back? Sure, but we will cross that bridge when it gets here. 

 

Mason Plumlee (19%)- We have a 5-game sample to work with since Paul Millsap (toe) went down, with Plumlee putting up 9.0 points, 6.6 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 0.8 steals and 1.0 blocks in 27.0 minutes. The steal/block totals are going to rise based on his season-long output, and he’s firmly ahead of Trey Lyles in coach Malone’s book. I fully expect him to crack the top-100 over the next few weeks, but beware of his FT%!


Juan Hernangomez (41%)- Yes he has slowed down, but the minutes are still there with 30+ in four out of his last five and he was likely dropped in a bunch of leagues for Denver’s 2-game week. He’s still ranked inside the top-75 over the past month with 12.0 points, 6.3 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 0.8 blocks, 0.6 steals and 1.8 triples in just under 33 minutes per game. You can’t leave numbers like that on the wire, at least until Will Barton gets back. 


P.J. Tucker (42%)- He looked like Terrance Ferguson at the start of the month, but Tucker has found his form again with top-55 numbers over his last four games with  13.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 1.0 steals and 3.5 triples in 36.5 minutes. Normally with Tucker you have to worry about his very low usage, but he’s going to see a nice bump in touches with Chris Paul (hamstring) out for at least a couple weeks. 


Rajon Rondo (43%)-  After a lengthy absence, Rondo was back in action on Friday and immediately saw 22 minutes compared to 26 for Lonzo Ball. The Lakers are open to using them together, but it hasn’t worked well so far with a dreadful -16.5 net rating on the season. This could easily become a value-limiting timeshare, but Rondo only needs 20 minutes per night to flirt with double-digit assists like we saw on Friday when he dished out nine dimes. He’s more of a one-trick pony at this stage of his career, but assists are the second hardest stat to find on the wire behind blocks in my opinion. 


Kelly Olynyk (41%)- He continues to be all over the place, but Olynyk has top-95 value over the past two weeks with 12.8 points, 7.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 0.8 steals and 1.5 triples. Most of his minutes have been coming at the four lately, and that’s great news with Whiteside and Adebayo splitting the center minutes. If you’re ok with crying while looking at the boxscore once or twice a week, he’s worth the headaches for his sporadic bursts of mid-round value. 

 

Tyler Johnson (41%)- It won’t always be pretty, but Johnson has a clear shot at top-100 value with Goran Dragic out indefinitely following a knee scope. He’s averaging 17.0 points, 3.3 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 0.7 steals, 0.7 blocks and 3.0 triples in just under 30 minutes over his last three games, but his value hinges on his shooting percentages going forward — he’s hitting 44.1% from the field and just 69.6% from the line on the season.

 

Noah Vonleh (44%)- New York has done a great job with their two reclamation projects in Emmanuel Mudiay and Vonleh this season. Vonleh has nearly been a top-100 player for the past month, posting 8.3 points, 8.1 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 0.7 steals, 0.9 blocks and 1.1 triples on 45.7% from the field and 61.9% from the line. He’s averaging close to 30 minutes per night, and it sounds like the Knicks aren’t planning on getting Kristaps Porzingis (knee) back this season. He has 1-1-1 upside in the money stat categories and the assists have been a huge surprise, making him worth a roster spot in standard leagues.  

 

Richaun Holmes (20%)- There’s no need to overthink this one. Holmes has been a top-70 player for the past month in just 19.4(!) minutes per game. He’s averaging 10.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.7 blocks, hitting 68.5% from the field and 72.7% from the line. Like I’ve said many times, if the Suns wake up and use him next to Ayton for just a handful of minutes he’ll have a shot at early-round value. 

 

 

Streaming Options:

 

*These are guys you can dump straight back to the waiver wire after getting a game or two of value out of them

 

Jeremy Lin (10%)- 13.5 points, 4.0 assists and 4.0 rebounds over last two. The stat stuffer has some stash appeal for the trade deadline in February with his expiring contract. 

 

Marcus Smart (42%)- His FG% makes him hard to own, but worth streaming in a lot of spots with 11.8/4.4/4.2 over last five games with 3.2(!) steals and 1.8 triples. 

 

Robert Williams (22%)- It’s strange that he played just eight minutes last game, but 6.6 blocks per 36 minutes screams upside. 

 

Daniel Theis (3%)- The emergence of Robert “Time Lord” Williams has kept him in check, but Al Horford (knee) is still day-to-day. Theis is averaging roughly 10/5/1 with 1.0 triples over last five in just under 20 minutes. Solid streamer in 16-team leagues. 

 

Ed Davis (8%)- The best rebounding streamer with 8.3 boards in 17.3 minutes per game. Also great if you need an edge in FG% (59.8). 

 

Rodions Kurucs (3%)- He’s coming off his best game of the season with 24 points, four triples, a steal and a block, but had a combined 11 points in his previous two games. Coach Kenny Atkinson is open to keeping him with the starters, making him a must-watch player. 

 

DeMarre Carroll (7%)- Low-end points and triples streamer with 11.8 points and 2.2 triples over last five. Could disappear when Allen Crabbe comes back. 

 

Cedi Osman (23%)- He went from being terrible in early December to mediocre lately with 12.2 points, 4.0 rebounds, 1.2 assists and 1.0 triples over last five, but has zero blocks and one steal in that span. Could benefit with Rodney Hood (Achilles) hurting. 

 

J.J. Barea (20%)- If we learn that Dennis Smith Jr. (wrist) will miss more time, Barea can be promoted to a waiver-wire pickup. He put up 14.5 points, 6.5 assists and 3.5 rebounds in his last two games, and he could swing your matchup in the assists category with his league-leading 48% assist percentage. 

 

Reggie Bullock (37%)- Detroit’s wing rotation has been a fantasy wasteland, but Bullock has emerged lately with 20.8 points and 4.8(!) triples over his last four games. He won’t stay this hot forever, so enjoy it while it lasts. 

 

Patrick Beverley (20%)- He’s finally relevant again with top-90 value over his last three games with 9/5/4 with 1.0 steals and 1.7 triples. Minutes are up with nearly 29 in that span. 

 

Garrett Temple (10%)- 12.6 points, 2.4 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1.6 steals, 1.2 blocks and 1.8 triples over his last five games, but this is Temple at his absolute best. 

 

Bam Adebayo (34%)- Still in a timeshare with Whiteside, and while his offense has stagnated with 5.4 points over last five, he’s keeping his value alive with 8.2 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 1.4 blocks. 

 

Tyus Jones (3%)- I’m including Jones on here in case Derrick Rose (ankle) misses time, especially with Jeff Teague out another week. Jones has top-100 upside if he starts with an elite steal rate to go with plenty of dimes. 

 

E’Twaun Moore (31%)- If he learns how to shoot again, Moore will be relevant in a hurry. Took 18 shots on Friday and was arguably the most efficient SG earlier in the season. 

 

D.J. Augustin (35%)- The most boring starting point guard in the league with 11.4 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.6 triples over his last five, but he’s allergic to defensive stats. 

 

Josh Jackson (29%)- 10/6/2 with 1.2 steals, 0.8 blocks and 1.4 triples over his last five games, but as always, you have to live with his shooting percentages and turnovers. 

 

Mikal Bridges (11%)- Has played 32+ minutes in four out of his last five games, but I’m waiting for his production to pick back up to the level we saw earlier this season. 

 

Bryn Forbes (16%)- 19.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 3.0 triples over his last two games, but had two straight duds before that. 

 

Jeff Green (31%)- Markieff Morris has checked out, and Green has taken advantage with 15/5/1 over his last five with 2.2 triples in 33.4 minutes. 

 

Thomas Bryant (3%)- If he played 25 minutes per night, I have no doubt that he would be a mid-round player. Coach Scott Brooks is asleep at the wheel, though.




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