Jared Johnson

Basketball Daily Dose

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Dose: What the Harrell?

Saturday, October 27, 2018

Championship Grit


Kevin Durant refused to take an L in New York on Friday as he popped off for 41 points, five triples, nine boards, five dimes, and three turnovers across 36 minutes. Golden State entered the fourth quarter of this contest trailing by five points, but KD went on a 25-point scoring binge during the final frame of action (which tied his career-high for most points scored in a single quarter) and he lifted the Dubs to a 28-point win. There was really nothing the Knicks could do to stop him, as he went 17-of-24 from the field and 2-of-2 from the charity stripe for an incredible 82.4 TS%, and he posted a ridiculous 59.1 usage rate during the fourth quarter without committing a single turnover. I’m nervous about KD making it through 75 games this season, and there’s a real chance he could get hit with random rest down the stretch, but there’s no denying this man’s greatness. He’s an easy top-3 option in fantasy hoops when healthy.


Go DJ – Go DJ; hit yo free throws – like Steph Curry


DeAndre Jordan went 5-of-10 from the field and 8-of-9 (!) from the charity stripe on his way to 18 points, 15 rebounds, one block and two turnovers across 34 minutes in Friday’s loss to the Raptors. DJ has randomly opened the year as an 84.6% free throw shooting, which clearly isn’t sustainable for the career 44.3% free throw shooter, so he has sell-high written all over him. Sure, he’ll be a stud with the double-doubles and swats, but I am semi-nervous about him missing time towards the second half of the season once the Mavericks are mathematically eliminated from the postseason. He currently ranks in the top-20, so owners would be wise to test his value on the trade market.


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Nurse Giveth & Nurse Taketh


Jonas Valanciunas returned to the starting lineup and finished with 17 points (7-of-16 FGs, 3-of-4 FTs), eight rebounds, one assist, one steal and one turnover in 22 minutes. While it’s nice that JV was able to briefly return to the starting lineup with a matchup against DeAndre Jordan, it’s not great that he still only saw 22 minutes, and Nick Nurse has made it clear that his starting five will be fluid. The unfortunate reality is, that given the current direction of the league, Serge Ibaka will be a better matchup at the five-spot on most nights, and Valanciunas is averaging just 18 minutes as a reserve. It’s true that he was able to hit sixth-round value last season despite only seeing 22.4 minutes a night, but his playing time is trending in the wrong direction this season. I think he might be closer to top-80 status this season, so owners may want to try and move him while he’s starting.


Danny Green had a nice bounce-back performance following Wednesday’s six-point stinker and finished with 15 points (4-of-8 FGs, 3-of-3 FTs), four 3-pointers, eight rebounds, one steal, one block and zero turnovers in 30 minutes. He’s been earning a career-high 30.7 minutes a night in Toronto to go with averages of 11.2 points, 3.0 treys, 5.2 boards, 1.3 dimes, 1.0 steal, 1.2 blocks and just 0.5 turnovers per game on 44% shooting, which has been good enough for top-40 value in 9-cat leagues. Now, there is a small chance that Green’s minutes could take a slight hit once both Delon Wright (groin) and Frank VanVleet (toe) are healthy, but this Danny Green resurgence sure does look real. I’d consider selling high if you’re able to extract a proven top-40 asset, but if no one in your league is willing to pay up, I’d just stick with him and enjoy the ride.


What the Harrell?


Montrezl Harrell netted a career-high 30 points on 8-of-13 shooting (14-of-15 from the stripe) during Friday’s easy win over Houston, adding six rebounds, one assist, two steals, two swats and one turnover in 28 minutes off the bench. Harrell has been ballin’ out over the past three games with averages of 19.7 points, 7.3 boards, 1.7 steals, 2.3 blocks and 1.7 turnovers per game on 72.4% shooting from the field and 94.4% from the stripe, and while I don’t believe those numbers are sustainable (he’s a career 62.1% shooter from the stripe), he’s worth owning everywhere while he’s this hot.


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On the Radar


Cameron Payne went 6-of-10 from the field and 1-of-1 from the line on his way to 15 points, two triples, one rebound, three assists, two steals and one turnover through 23 minutes as a starter. He’s played well as a starter over the past two games with averages of 18.0 points, 4.5 treys, 3.0 boards, 3.5 dimes, 1.5 steals and 2.0 turnovers on 56.5% shooting, so he’s worth a look in deep leagues with Kris Dunn (knee) out 4-6 weeks. The sky-high field goal percentage isn’t sustainable, and I wouldn’t count on him regularly scoring in the upper teens, but he should do enough to warrant ownership in deep leagues. 


P.J. Tucker scored 12 points on 5-of-12 shooting to go with six rebounds, two 3-pointers, three assists, three steals, one block and one turnover in 34 minutes. The scoring comes and goes with Tucker, but he’s been a top-50 guy on the year with averages of 9.2 points, 4.6 boards, 2.2 triples, 1.6 assists, 2.4 steals, 0.8 swats and just 0.6 turnovers per contest on 40% shooting. He should be owned in more leagues.


Malik Monk hit 4-of-10 shots on his way to 10 points, two treys, two boards, two dimes, two steals and one turnover in 24 minutes off the bench. I think there’s a good chance Monk will find himself in the starting lineup at some point this season, and if he could get his points more efficiently, he could creep into the top-80 equation. He’s worth a look if you need some triples.


John Henson knocked down a career-high three 3-pointers on his way to nine points, 12 rebounds, one assist, one block and one turnover in 18 minutes off the bench. The 3-point stroke is real for Henson, and with averages of 6.8 points, 8.4 boards, 1.0 trey-bomb and 1.6 swats per contest on 44.4% shooting, he certainly has value as a shot blocking specialist.


Maxi Kleber scored eight points on 2-of-6 shooting (3-of-4 from the stripe) on his way to eight rebounds, one 3-pointer, one assist, two steals and four swats in 30 minutes off the bench. He’s been trending up over the past three games with averages of 10.3 points, 2.0 triples, 5.7 boards and 2.7 blocks per game on 52.6% shooting, so he’s making blips on the deep league radar. The Mavs are one of just eight teams playing on Sunday, so he might be someone to consider using as a streamer, just know that he could fall off at a moment’s notice.


E’Twaun Moore came through with 15 points (5-of-10 FGs, 3-of-5 FTs), two triples, four rebounds, one assist and one steal over 32 minutes. He’s not the most exciting guy to own, but with averages of 15.0 points, 1.3 triples and just 0.5 turnovers per game on 52.2% shooting, he’s worth owning in most leagues.


Avery Bradley finally had an efficient outing during Friday’s easy win over the Rockets, scoring 14 points on 6-of-10 shooting (1-of-1 from the line) to go with one 3-pointer, three rebounds, one steal and two turnovers across 25 minutes. He’s been horrible this season, connecting on just 34.3% of his shot attempts without bringing much of anything to the box score, so hopefully, he’ll be able to build off this performance. I’d like to see him do this again before recommending him as an add in 12-team leagues with just 13 roster spots, but he could be worth taking a flier on in deep leagues if you’ve got someone to cut.


Mitchell Robinson earned his first career start and finished with seven points (3-of-5 FGs, 1-of-2 FTs), six rebounds, two steals and one turnover across 29 minutes. He could very well come off the bench in the Knicks’ next game, but the fact that they’re even toying with the idea of him as a starter this early is a very positive sign for his outlook. I don’t think he’ll do much for the first few months of the season, but he could have some value after the break. During Summer League, Robinson put in averages of 13.0 points, 10.2 boards, 1.0 steal and 4.0 swats per contest in just 24.8 minutes a night, so that gives you an idea on his upside.


Damyean Dotson moved into the starting lineup and hit 5-of-12 shots on his way to 12 points, two 3-pointers, seven rebounds, one steal and one turnover across 30 minutes. He’s played well since Kevin Knox went down, posting averages of 14.0 points, 6.8 boards, 2.8 triples, 1.5 steals and just 0.5 turnovers per game on 46.8% shooting. His value could plummet once Knox gets back, but until that happens, it looks like he’ll be worth owning in deep leagues.


Frank Ntilikina started at point guard and came through with 17 points (6-of-11 FGs, 2-of-2 FTs), three 3-pointers, one rebound, two assists, one steal and three turnovers in 26 minutes. He’s very raw, but the Knicks have every incentive to develop their top-10 pick from the 2017 draft, so he should see nothing but opportunity this season. He’s not quite worth owning in standard 12-team settings, but he’s definitely on the radar in deep leagues.


Kelly Oubre Jr. came off the bench for 22 points (8-of-13 FGs, 1-of-1 FTs), five triples, nine boards, two dimes, one steal, one block and one turnover in 29 minutes. He’s been heating up over the past three with averages of 14.0 points, 5.5 boards, 1.8 triples, 0.5 blocks and 1.5 turnovers per game on 48.7% shooting from the field and 91.7% from the line. I think his value will take a hit upon Dwight Howard’s (back) return, but right now, he’s worth owning in most leagues.


Nemanja Bjelica drained a career-high tying six trey-bombs on his way to 26 points, 12 rebounds, three assists, one steal, one block and one turnover through 36 minutes as a starter. I seriously doubt he’ll still be in the starting lineup after the All-Star break, but right now he’s earning consistent minutes in Sacramento and is worth owning with averages of 13.5 points, 6.5 boards, 3.0 assists, 2.0 triples, 1.2 steals, 0.8 swats and just 1.0 turnover per contest.


Injury Report


Devin Booker (hamstring) will travel to Memphis for Saturday’s game, but he’s listed as “out.” The fact that he’s traveling is encouraging, but I seriously doubt he’ll take the court against the Grizzlies, and with Ryan Anderson (hip) and Deandre Ayton (ankle) questionable, Josh Jackson could be looking at a lead role on offense. Saturday will be the first of a back-to-back set, and Booker owners should plan on being without him for both of those. Isaiah Canaan could be someone to think about as a low-end streamer or DFS punt play.


Elfrid Payton exited Friday’s game towards the final few minutes with a right knee issue and did not return, finishing with 17 points, five boards, six dimes, one 3-pointer and four turnovers across 31 minutes. He came down awkwardly on his knee after jumping for a rebound, and while he was able to walk over to the bench under his own accord, he was sporting a very obvious limp. He did say after the game that it was merely cramps, but it did look like he tweaked something, so I’d consider him highly questionable for Saturday’s game against the Jazz. Tim Frazier could draw the start if Payton sits, and he’d be on the radar in DFS, as would Frank Jackson. Jrue Holiday would also see a boost, as he’d spend more time running the offense.


Harrison Barnes (hamstring) made his regular-season debut and produced 14 points (5-of-17 FGs, 3-of-5 FTs), six rebounds, three assists, one 3-pointer, one block and one turnover in 28 minutes. It’ll take a few games for him to get back in the groove, but he’ll be a top-100 guy this year.


Dennis Smith Jr. (ankle) missed Friday’s game and should be considered questionable to play on Sunday vs. Utah. Jalen Brunson got the start in his place and finished with eight points, three boards, four assists, two 3-pointer, one steal and two turnovers in 30 minutes.


Andrew Wiggins (thigh) missed his second straight game on Friday and he should be considered questionable for Monday’s game against the Lakers. Josh Okogie got another start but went just 2-of-10 from the field on his way to fou points, four rebounds, one assist and one steal over 29 minutes.


Joel Embiid rolled his left ankle at Friday’s practice and is questionable to play Saturday against the Hornets. If he’s out, Ben Simmons will eat up most of his usage and it would either be Mike Muscala or Amir Johnson getting the start.


Ian Mahinmi (back) returned from a one-game absence, registering four points, five boards, one assist, two steals and one turnover through 19 minutes as a starter. Leave him on the wire.


Iman Shumpert (hip) returned from a one-game stint on the sidelines and finished with six rebounds, one block and one turnover across 17 scoreless minutes. The 26-point performance last Sunday was clearly an anomaly.


Tyreke Evans was late to Friday’s practice and will not be allowed to play on Saturday against the Cavs. He should be back in action on Monday vs. the Trail Blazers, but with him out vs. Cleveland, I’d expect Bojan Bogdanovic to see an uptick in minutes, with Darren Collison and Victor Oladipo doing a bit more on offense.


Marc Gasol (neck) will play Saturday against the Suns and Dillon Brooks (foot) is expected to play.


Chandler Parsons (knee soreness) is expected to miss the next “week or so.” While he’ll be making roughly $50 million over the next two years, he belongs on the waiver wire in all leagues. Kyle Anderson should be able to see an uptick in minutes while Parsons is out.


Justise Winslow (hamstring), Wayne Ellington (ankle) and Derrick Jones Jr. (foot) are probable for Saturday’s game against the Trail Blazers. Ellington may be able to establish himself as a 3-point specialist in deep leagues, but I don’t think the other two will be worth owning this season. It’ll be interesting to see if Rodney McGruder can keep his minutes once the team is healthy.


Daniel Theis (foot) and Aron Baynes (hamstring) are questionable to play on Saturday against the Pistons. If they’re both out, Marcus Morris could again be flirting with minutes in the 30s.


Darius Miller exited Friday’s game with a right quad contusion and did not return, leaving his status up in the air for Saturday’s game against the Jazz.


Alex Poythress (knee) will miss the at least the next three games, which could translate to a few more minutes for Omari Spellman.


Luke Kennard (shoulder) is expected to miss the next two weeks of action, which should translate to big minutes for Reggie Bullock.


OG Anunoby (personal), Delon Wright (groin) and Fred VanVleet (toe) did not play Friday and they should be considered questionable for Monday’s game in Milwaukee.


Luc Mbah a Moute (knee) did not play Friday and he should be considered questionable for Sunday’s game against the Wizards.


Kenneth Faried (illness) sat out Friday’s game, but he’s a non-factor in the rotation anyway.

A hoops fanatic, Jared Johnson has been a member of the Rotoworld team since 2013. Follow him on Twitter @JaredJ831, and feel free to send him your questions regarding trades, draft strategies and all things fantasy basketball.
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