Jared Johnson

Basketball Daily Dose

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Dose: Boogie-less in NOLA

Monday, January 29, 2018


Week 16 Schedule: Games Played

 

4 Games: ATL, BKN, BOS, CHA, DEN, IND, MEM, MIA, MIL, MIN, NYK, OKC, PHI, PHX, POR, TOR

 

3 Games: CLE, DAL, DET, GSW, HOU, LAL, NOP, ORL, SAC, SAS, UTA, WAS

 

2 Games: CHI, LAC

 

 

Life Without Boogie

 

Anthony Davis posted a big 25-point, 17-rebound double-double in his first game with DeMarcus Cousins (Achilles) this season, adding six assists, two steals, one block and four turnovers in 41 minutes of floor time. AD didn’t see a major bump in usage, which makes sense considering his usage rate was already reasonably high prior to the Boogie injury and he’s not really a huge usage rate guy, but he did see a major spike to his assist percentage (31.6, up from 11.6) and a nice bump to his rebounding rate (19.3, up from 16.0), and those are the areas I expect to improve the most with Cousins done for the year. Davis did appear to tweak his groin towards the end of the game, but with New Orleans still playoff relevant, I’d expect him to push through the minor injuries when he’s able to do so. Owners can expect to get another update by Tuesday’s shootaround at the latest.

 

Jrue Holiday also had a solid performance in his first Boogie-less game of the year, scoring 20 points on 7-of-15 shooting (5-of-5 from the line) to go with nine rebounds, seven assists, one 3-pointer, one steal, three blocks and three turnovers in 37 minutes. He was already having an incredible season with top-25 value on the year, but he could certainly get into the top-15 range with the rock in his hands more often.

 

E’Twaun Moore saw the largest spike in usage amongst the New Orleans’ starters, jumping from 16.0 to 19.6, and he finished with 18 points (7-of-15 FGs, 3-of-4 FTs), one 3-pointer, two rebounds, one assist and two turnovers in 32 minutes. The Pelicans are lacking in offensive weapons, so they’ll need every bucket Moore can give them. He doesn’t often give you much in the way of defensive statistics, but Moore has done enough with the points (12.9), dimes (2.2) and triples (1.7) this season to warrant a roster spot in most leagues, and those numbers figure to come up over this second half of the season.

 

As I predicted in Friday’s column, Dante Cunningham started but did very little in his 28 minutes of floor time, finishing with just eight points (3-of-7 FGs, 1-of-4 FTs), seven rebounds, one 3-pointer, one steal and two turnovers; and Darius Miller failed to live up to the hype with a measly three points, two boards, three assists, one block and one turnover in 27 minutes off the bench. Like I said on Friday, Jrue Holiday, E’Twaun Moore and a more ridiculous Anthony Davis will fill the majority of the void filled by Boogie. Sure, guys like Miller and Cunningham will see some increased opportunity, but they’re simply too inconsistent to trust in most leagues.

 

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Back-to-Back Process?

 

Joel Embiid double-doubled in Sunday’s 122-112 loss to the Thunder, scoring 27 points on 10-of-16 shooting to go with 10 rebounds, two assists, three 3-pointers, two blocks and four turnovers in 36 minutes. He also went 4-of-5 from the charity stripe to give him a sterling 74.2 true shooting percentage on the evening, but most importantly, Brett Brown seemed to imply that Embiid will play on Monday in what will be his first back-to-back set of the season. The 76ers are currently listing the big man “available to play,” which is far from definitive, but certainly better than “out.” Because it’s the second game of a back-to-back, the 76ers won’t host a shootaround, so we likely won’t get official confirmation until just prior to tip-off, but things are certainly trending in a positive direction here.

 

Time To Move On

 

Marquese Chriss put his elite ability to rack up silly fouls on full display early during Sunday’s loss to the Rockets, amassing three fouls within the first three minutes of action and finishing with two points, five boards, two steals, one block and one turnover in just 16 minutes of action. I would go as far to say that Chriss is loaded with upside but his innate ability to commit careless fouls has consistently kept him off the floor this season, thus ensuring that he won’t meet his potential night after night. Essentially, in the 43 games he’s played in this season, Chriss has managed to not be terrible for roughly eight of them, and I just don’t see him bucking that trend anytime soon. Now would be the time to move on in nearly all leagues.

 

On the Radar

 

John Henson scored 12 points on 4-of-6 shooting (4-of-7 from the line) to go with three rebounds, three assists, two steals, one block and one turnover in 28 minutes. He’s not the most exciting guy to own, but his 1.5 swats per contest make him worth rostering as a shot-blocking specialist in deep leagues.

 

Luc Mbah a Moute started the second half on Sunday sans Trevor Ariza (hamstring) and finished with 13 points, two 3-pointers, two rebounds, two steals, one block and one assist in 32 minutes. As a starter this season, Mbah a Moute owns averages of 9.6 points, 4.4 boards, 1.6 triples, 1.6 assists, 1.0 steal, 1.2 blocks and 1.6 turnovers per game on 51.4% shooting, so if Ariza can’t play on Tuesday, Mbah a Moute will be someone to consider grabbing.

 

Denzel Valentine had another productive game off the bench on Sunday, scoring 18 points on 8-of-12 shooting to go with five rebounds, four assists, two 3-pointers and zero turnovers in 30 minutes. He’s been on quite the tear over the past two games with averages of 17.0 points, 8.0 boards, 4.0 dimes, 3.0 triples and just 1.0 turnover per game on 60.9% shooting, and he should continue to log extended minutes with Kris Dunn (concussion) out. The scoring and sky-high shooting aren’t sustainable, but he’s been doing enough with the dimes and triples lately to warrant some deep league attention.  

 

Jerian Grant came through with 15 points (6-of-10 FGs, 1-of-2 FTs), four rebounds, five assists, two 3-pointers and three turnovers through 32 minutes as a starter. The scoring comes and goes with Grant, but as long as he’s starting, he has some deep league appeal as a dimes specialist.

 

Tyrone Wallace hit up the Pelicans for 19 points, six rebounds, six assists, one steal and three turnovers in 32 minutes. The last pick from the 2016 draft has been impressive in Los Angeles this season, churning out late-round value behind averages of 11.8 points, 2.4 assists, 1.0 steal, 0.6 swats and 1.4 turnovers per game on 47.7% shooting, although I do expect his value to take a substantial hit once Austin Rivers (ankle) and Danilo Gallinari (glute) return to the court and are fully up to speed. He’s worth a look in deep leagues, but his rest-of-season outlook isn’t great.

 

Anthony Tolliver got hot from beyond the arc, draining five trey-bombs on his way to 20 points, three rebounds and five assists in 40 minutes of floor time. He got the start and some extended minutes with Avery Bradley (hamstring) on the sidelines, but overall he’s been trending up over the past seven games with averages of 11.1 points, 2.6 triples, 2.0 assists and just 1.0 turnover per game on 54.5% shooting. He’s got some deep league appeal as a 3-point streamer at the moment.

 

J.R. Smith had another solid outing on Sunday sans Dwyane Wade (personal), scoring 15 points on 4-of-7 shooting (3-of-3 from the stripe) to go with four 3-pointers, four rebounds, one assist and three turnovers in 29 minutes. He’s been lighting it up from beyond the arc over the past two games, but I’d wait and see if he can keep it up once Wade gets back on Tuesday before picking him up in most scenarios.

 

Larry Nance only missed once during Sunday’s loss to the Raptors, netting 15 points on 7-of-8 shooting (1-of-1 from the stripe) to go with eight rebounds, two assists, two steals and zero turnovers in 25 minutes off the bench. He’s been a sneaky top-45 option in 9-cat leagues over the past few weeks with averages of 10.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 1.9 steals, 1.0 block and just 1.0 turnover per game on 66.7% shooting. Nance’s ability to rack up the defensive stats makes him worth owning in most leagues.

 


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A hoops fanatic, Jared Johnson has been a member of the Rotoworld team since 2013. Follow him on Twitter @JaredJ831, and feel free to send him your questions regarding trades, draft strategies and all things fantasy basketball.
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