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FanDuel NBA Bargains: Monday

Monday, January 22, 2018


It's a busy nine-game night in the Association, so let's jump right into tonight's FanDuel bargains!

 

Matchups

Over/Under

Spread

Kings at Hornets

210.5

Hornets -10.5

Jazz at Hawks

205

Jazz -2.5

Heat at Rockets

212.5

Rockets -11.0

Sixers at Grizzlies

205

Sixers -3.5

Suns at Bucks

214

Bucks -5.0

Bulls at Pelicans

227

Pelicans -6.5

Wizards at Mavs

213.5

Wizards -2.0

Blazers at Nuggets

210.5

Nuggets -3.0

Wolves at Clippers

220.5

Clippers -2.0

 

As usual, injuries and lineup tweaks are crucial and DFS owners should always monitor news until the moment lineups lock! For instance, Suns coach Jay Triano said he will make some lineup changes tonight but didn't specify what they'll be. That leaves a lot of room for last-minute value, but also increases the risk. The Grizzlies' injury report is also just a complete mess.

 

I'm hopeful that Isaiah Canaan (PG, $3.7k) gets the start ahead of Tyler Ulis tonight. If so, his minutes should increase and it would be even easier for him to exceed 5x value. He averaged 1.03 FanDuel points per minute in December, and he's at 0.84 in January. At that rate, he'll only need 24 minutes to hit value against a Bucks team playing without the length of Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) and possibly Malcolm Brogdon (personal).

 

Jimmy Butler's sore knee will keep him out again on Monday, marking his second straight DNP. Jamal Crawford (toe) is also out again, and on Saturday it was Marcus Georges-Hunt (SG, $3.5k) who soaked up 29 minutes, finishing with 12 points, three rebounds and two assists for 18.6 FanDuel points. Nemanja Bjelica (SF, $3.6k) earned the start in Butler's absence and was also a sneaky value with 20.2 fantasy points. I'm much more inclined to trust Bjelica tonight, given that Georges-Hunt's 12 points were a career-high, but both guys are cheap enough to deserve attention.

  

I mentioned the Grizzlies earlier, and they're worth a quick look. JaMychal Green (ankle), Chandler Parsons (knee), James Ennis (calf) and Mike Conley (Achilles) have been ruled out. As of this writing, Jarell Martin (left hand), Dillon Brooks (illness) and Mario Chalmers (shoulder) are questionable. Andrew Harrison (shoulder) is probable.

 

I'm be quite interested in Jarell Martin and Dillon Brooks -- if they are cleared to play, of course. Martin (PF, $4.0k) only needs 20 FanDuel points to hit 5x value, and in the past three games he's had 20.8, 20.4 and 31.7. Brooks (SF, $4.0k) has been even safer over a four-game span with 21.5, 32.6, 27.5 and 24.8.

 

Sticking with the theme of teammates who benefit from injuries...Goran Dragic (knee) and Tyler Johnson (ankle) will not play on Monday, which leaves plenty of touches and usage for Josh Richardson, Wayne Ellington and even James Johnson. J-Rich (SF, $6.3k) is over the typical price threshold for this column, but he looks super safe tonight in what should be a fast-paced game vs. Houston.

 

Wayne Ellington (SG, $4.8k) saw his price spike after dropping 32.5 FanDuel points this weekend, and my only concern here is that he does very little beyond scoring -- if his shots aren't falling, he'll be hard-pressed to hit 5x. Finally, there is James Johnson (PF, $5.6k). He's been erratic all season, which should keep his price down, but the opportunity will be there -- his 25.8% usage rate on Saturday was his highest since Dec. 16, and that should continue for the banged-up Heat tonight.

 

Timothe Luwawu (SG, $3.8k) only increased a few hundred bucks on FanDuel, despite getting a solid 16 points, three boards and two assists in 29 minutes on Saturday. Jerryd Bayless (sore left wrist) and J.J. Redick (leg) are both out again tonight, which makes Luwawu a viable punt and T.J. McConnell (PG, $5.4) a solid mid-range option. It helps that their opponent, the Grizzlies, are dealing with myriad injuries.

 

Bucks tidbits...Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) is out and it's unclear whether Malcolm Brogdon (personal) will sit again. That puts Tony Snell (SG, $4.3k) and Sterling Brown (SG, $3.5k) on the map since both played huge minutes over the weekend, but they're just not high-usage/high-upside players. The real winners are Khris Middleton and Eric Bledsoe, both of whom I'll be happy to pay up for vs. the Suns tonight -- especially if Brogdon is also ruled out.



Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.
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