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DRAFT MLB Strategy: Wednesday

Wednesday, September 12, 2018


Building a team on DRAFT’s DFS platform is an excellent way to make the action even more exciting than just following your favorite team. If you aren’t familiar with DRAFT’s DFS platform, it’s an innovative daily fantasy game with a live draft feature -- instead of building within a salary cap, you're participating in snake drafts that typically last under five minutes. On top of that, anyone you draft is yours alone -- if you take Nolan Arenado with your first pick, nobody else in your league can roster him.

 

You can find more information at Draft.com or quickly join a contest from anywhere after downloading the app!

 

The scoring system is similar to FanDuel with a few small exceptions. For one, starting pitchers aren’t quite as valuable relative to their hitting counterparts. You can read a detailed explanation of these along with other DRAFT MLB Strategy Tips in our preview article.

 

Best of luck and happy drafting!

 

Editor’s Note: Fantasy Baseball season is here! Compete in a live fantasy baseball snake draft right now! Drafts take as little as 2 minutes to complete and last just one night. For a limited time, DRAFT is giving Rotoworld readers a FREE entry into a real money draft and a Money-Back Guarantee up to $100! Here's the link. 

 

UNDERRATED PLAYERS

These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.

 

Anibal Sanchez – SP – Atlanta (DRAFT Projection: 11.0 FP)

 

Sanchez is outside the DRAFT top 10 pitchers, yet I have him third on my list. While he looks completely out of place surrounded by names like Carlos Carrasco and Stephen Strasburg, there’s no denying he has a high value matchup against the Giants at AT&T Park. My projection calls for 6.2 innings, 6.8 strikeouts, 2.5 runs, and over 40 percent of a win (12.6 FP). Notably, per my list, third-ranked Sanchez is projected for only 2.3 more points than 17th-ranked Jon Gray. In other words, you should feel comfortable taking whichever pitchers you like. There are so many options today.

 

Manny Machado – INF – Cleveland (DRAFT Projection: 9.6 FP)

 

DRAFT did a good job with projections today. There aren’t many opportunities for a big bargain. Instead, look for smaller upgrades like Machado. He’s only under-projected by a fraction of a point, but he should be a borderline top 10 infielder. Instead, DRAFT has him 16th. Tiny Great American Ballpark is a wonderful venue for Machado, although a matchup against Anthony DeSclafani is a mixed bag. The Reds’ starter has a long history of success against right-handed hitters. It’s lefties (2.58 HR/9 this season) like Max Muncy and Cody Bellinger who completely crush him.

 

Justin Turner, Shohei Ohtani, and Jose Altuve could also be modest bargains.

 

Ramon Laureano – OF – Oakland (DRAFT Projection 9.5 FP)

 

If you find the clock ticking down and you still don’t have a pick, you can’t go wrong with Athletics today. They’re visiting Andrew Cashner at Camden Yards. The righty doesn’t strikeout batters, avoid walks, or limit hard contact. The result is a predictable string of losses. Laureano has recently taken over as the Oakland leadoff man. Facing Cashner counteracts his greatest weakness – strikeouts. We’re likely to see four balls in play with a walk. A home run is well within reach. DRAFT says he’s 12th best, but I project him immediately after Mike Trout and Mookie Betts.

 

OVERRATED PLAYERS

These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.

 

Andrew McCutchen –OF –New York (DRAFT Projection: 10.3 FP)

 

The Yankees leadoff man certainly has a place in deeper DRAFT leagues, but I don’t quite see him as the fifth best outfielder. I’d look to him closer to 15th. Since switching leagues, McCutchen has demonstrated superb plate discipline. A hot streak would not surprise me. However, the overall shape of his production generally doesn’t include much power. He has a neutral matchup against Jake Odorizzi. Again, I like McCutchen just fine, I’m just not as enthusiastic as DRAFT.

 

OVERALL STRATEGY

 

Split-Action. If you draft early in the day, you might want to lean on the afternoon contests which will have posted lineups. Those who wait for the evening slate will be without a number of high quality pitchers.

 

Pitcher Talk.  I took today’s list 17 pitchers deep. As I just noted, the staggered starting times means not all of these pitchers will be available in later drafts. We’re also looking at an unusually talented slate. Aces extend eight pitchers deep, and it’s rare for us to have two tiers of them. The third tier goes on and on and on. Ultimately, I’m not rushing to pick a pitcher.

 

  1. Gerrit Cole – Tier 1
  2. Carlos Carrasco – Tier 1
  3. Anibal Sanchez – Tier 2
  4. Stephen Strasburg  – Tier 2
  5. Zack Wheeler – Tier 2
  6. Blake Snell – Tier 2
  7. Aaron Nola – Tier 2
  8. Luis Severino – Tier 2
  9. David Price – Tier 3
  10. Jameson Taillon – Tier 3
  11. Carlos Rodon – Tier 3
  12. Patrick Corbin – Tier 3
  13. Kyle Hendricks – Tier 3
  14. Ross Stripling – Tier 3
  15. Wade LeBlanc – Tier 3
  16. Felix Pena – Tier 3
  17. Jon Gray – Tier 3

 



You can read more from Brad Johnson on Rotoworld, FanGraphs, and RotoBaller. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.
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