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FanDuel MLB Bargains: Friday

Friday, September 29, 2017


When looking at “bargains” on FanDuel, we'll typically focus on hitters who are $3,200 or lower. In general, we'll only highlight players at the top end of that scale if they have star potential.

 

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

 

On to the bargain plays...

 

1 – Dan Straily – SP – Miami (FanDuel $7,400)

 

Straily consistently throws five to six innings while posting a solid 8.41 K/9. Although he'll occasionally toss a clunker, you can generally expect between 25 and 45 points. Any pitcher who has an easy path to 45 points is well worth a $7,400 investment. Straily is opposed by a middling Braves lineup.

 

2 – Buster Posey – C – San Franciso (FanDuel $2,800)

 

Posey is still in the running for best catcher in the real world. For fantasy purposes, his low power approach leaves something to be desired. However, any time you can find him at bargain prices against an opponent like Jordan Lyles, he's well worth the investment. Posey doesn't often carry a DFS lineup, but you can count on him to supply at least some kind of production.

 

3 – Joey Gallo – 1B – Texas (FanDuel $2,800)

4 – Rougned Odor – 2B – Los Angeles (FanDuel $2,300)

 

The Rangers are set to face Athletics righty Raul Alcantara. Few pitchers have looked more overmatched in the majors. While Alcantara does have a zippy 95 mph fastball, his secondary stuff does nothing to put hitters off balance. That let's opponents sit on the fastball. The result, unsurprisingly, has been a high home run rate. Over 42 career innings, he's allowed a 7.07 ERA (7.53 FIP).

 

Gallo is basically a must-play at this price. Alcantara doesn't miss enough bats to worry about Gallo's hacktastic approach. He's relatively likely to pop his 40th home run of the season tonight. Odor offers a similar all-or-nothing profile to Gallo. He's hit 30 home runs this season, but his .203/.252/.398 batting line is dreadful. Despite the power production, he's 40 percent worse than the league average hitter.

 

5 – Evan Longoria – 3B – Tampa (FanDuel $2,900)

 

Longoria has a very long history of mashing left-handed pitching. It's curious that he's hitting just .215/.304/.356 with the platoon advantage this season. He's shown his typically strong plate discipline versus southpaws. The only major differences are a low .141 ISO and a .234 BABIP. Both are considered “luck” stats, meaning they are particularly prone to small sample fluctuations. Longoria's 191 plate appearances against lefties this season qualifies as a small sample. The Rays are opposed by Wade Miley. The Orioles lefty has serious issues against right-handed hitters.

 

6 – Freddy Galvis – SS – Philadelphia (FanDuel $2,600)

 

Your interest in Galvis probably depends upon how far you think Matt Harvey has fallen. He has a luck neutral 6.60 ERA in 88.2 innings, and he's allowed 2.03 HR/9. It's rare for him to last beyond the fifth inning. The Mets bullpen is rather weak too. All told, there are a lot of favorable factors in play for Galvis tonight. The Phillies second hitter is batting just .253/.305/.379, but he does occasionally contribute surprisingly useful DFS totals.

 

7 – Curtis Granderson – OF – Los Angeles (FanDuel $3,100)

 

Since joining the Dodgers, Granderson has been a bust. However, the lefty slugger has three home runs in his last 28 plate appearances. Los Angeles is visiting Coors Field, giving Granderson a perfect opportunity to pad his power stats. His opponent, Chad Bettis, has struggled since returning from the disabled list.

 

8 – Willie Calhoun – OF – Texas (FanDuel $2,200)

 

The Rangers have seemingly recommitted to giving Calhoun a look in the majors. He played consistently when he was first called up earlier this month only to quickly move back to the bench. In the minors, Calhoun was a high average, low strikeout hitter with 30 home run power. He's had some issues with swinging through pitches in the majors, but I'm prepared to write it off as nerves. He is capable of being a fantasy hero over the last three games of the season.

 

Calhoun isn't the only bargain outfielder worth targeting in Texas. Also consider Nomar Mazara, Delino DeShields, Shin-Soo Choo, or Carlos Gomez. Not all of them will start.

 

9 – Mark Canha – OF – Oakland (FanDuel $2,400)

 

While Texas is the bargain stack of the day, the Athletics have a few players to try too. Rangers starter Martin Perez has allowed a .310/.373/.480 batting line to right-handed hitters. Although Mark Canha actually has reverse platoon splits, they've come in a small sample. I assume he actually has no platoon split. In that case, he's a decent pick for power at a near-minimum price. Just watch out for his 30 percent strikeout rate.

 

10 – Jay Bruce – OF – Houston (FanDuel $3,200)

 

The Indians are facing Mike Pelfrey in what should be a truncated start. The sinker baller has struggled this year, posting a 5.52 ERA, 5.91 K/9, and 4.30 BB/9. He's been especially bad against left-handed hitters. Bruce is having a typical season. He's hitting .266/.336/.536 with the platoon advantage. The Indians are hosting the game at Progressive Field, a decent venue for left-handed power. Pelfrey has allowed 1.84 HR/9. The White Sox bullpen is just as bad as Pelfrey.



You can read more from Brad Johnson on Rotoworld, FanGraphs, and RotoBaller. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.
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