Seth Trachtman

The Week Ahead

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The Week Ahead: Rodon Rolling

Saturday, August 19, 2017


Patience is a virtue. That’s especially the case for Carlos Rodon owners in 2017.

 

The White Sox lefty didn’t make his debut this season until the end of June due to a biceps injury. A streak of three bad starts in July pushed his ERA up to 6.29 on July 25, and at that point fantasy owners probably wished he never returned.

 

However, since that point Rodon has turned a corner. He has four consecutive quality starts for Chicago, bringing his ERA all the way down to 4.00. Over that time, he has a 2.12 ERA and 28/6 K/BB in 29.2 innings. That’s certainly a start for the 24-year-old, who has been making progress with his control since he was promoted to the majors in 2015.

 

One of the biggest concerns regarding Rodon’s return was whether he’d still use his nasty slider as often following the arm injury. The answer has been yes, and we’ve seen a K/9 above 9.0 to reflect that heavy usage.

 

During his current hot streak, Rodon’s only issue has been keeping the ball in the park. He’s allowed at least one home run in each of his last seven starts, resulting in a dire 1.7 HR/9 for the season. The ERA is still a bit risky until he keeps the ball down more consistently, but Rodon has pitched well enough recently that he’s safe as an every-start fantasy pitcher.

 

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-Andrew Albers is shaping up to be a great story this season. The lefty made a spot start this week, which he could turn into a regular rotation spot after allowing only one run in five innings. The minor league veteran has made major league appearances in three of the last four seasons, including a 4.05 ERA in 10 starts with Minnesota in 2013. However, he’s failed to get consistent opportunities because of his lack of velocity and inability to keep the ball in the park. Albers had a 2.61 ERA and 1.4 BB/9 in in 120.2 innings at Triple-A Gwinnett prior to the Mariners purchasing him from Atlanta last week. While the upside is lacking, Albers could have some use in AL-only leagues for his first time around the league this year.

 

-It’s been a banner year for most members of the Diamondbacks rotation, with the exception of Patrick Corbin. After two straight scoreless starts, the southpaw is getting in on the action with his ERA down to 4.25. Fantasy owners have been waiting for Corbin to regain the form that he showed prior to Tommy John surgery in 2013, when he had a 3.41 ERA and had 32 starts. Corbin’s peripherals have shown signs of a rebound this season, with a career-best 8.8 K/9 and a strong 2.6 BB/9. With strong ERA metrics (4.08 FIP, 3.99 SIERA), there should be optimism that Corbin can continue to be effective the rest of the way.

 

-It’s been a while since we’ve checked in on Charlie Morton, but he continues to be notable. The groundball pitcher has allowed three earned runs or less in five consecutive starts, and his ERA is down to 3.69. The velocity uptick he showed last year and into this season continues to hold, with an average fastball velocity of 95 mph and a resulting 10.0 K/9 this season. Even with a difficult two-start week ahead that includes Washington, Morton is a fine option.

 

-Few pitchers have been bigger disappointments this season than Steven Matz. The lefty’s ERA went above 6.00 after his last start, allowing six earned runs in just 3.1 innings. The oft-injured pitcher didn’t make a major league start until June 10 this season due to injury, and it’s worth wondering if he’s been pitching through something this year. Matz’s velocity has basically held this year, but his K/9 is just 6.5 this season after posting a K/9 of 8.7 over his first 28 career starts. With Matz’s inability to keep the ball in the park this season, he’s basically unusable for fantasy owners.

 

Going Twice…

 

American League

 

Strong Plays

 

Carlos Carrasco: BOS, KC

Marcus Stroman: @TB, MIN

Carlos Rodon: MIN, DET

Justin Verlander: NYY, @CHW

 

Decent Plays

 

Jacob Faria: TOR, @STL

Charlie Morton: WAS, @LAA

Cole Hamels: @LAA, @OAK

Mike Clevinger: BOS, KC

Eduardo Rodriguez: @CLE, BAL

Rick Porcello: @CLE, BAL

Tyler Skaggs: TEX, HOU

Reynaldo Lopez: MIN, DET

Jaime Garcia: @DET, SEA

Jason Hammel: COL, @CLE

 

At Your Own Risk

 

Andrew Albers: @ATL, @NYY

Chris Smith: @BAL, TEX

Ricky Nolasco: TEX, HOU

Ubaldo Jimenez: OAK, @BOS

Tyson Ross: @LAA, @OAK

 

National League

 

Strong Plays

 

Madison Bumgarner: MIL, @ARI

Yu Darvish: @PIT, MIL

Alex Wood: @PIT, MIL

Aaron Nola: MIA, CHC

Lance Lynn: SD, TB

Taijuan Walker: @NYM, SF

Dan Straily: @PHI, SD

 

Decent Plays

 

Gerrit Cole: LAD, @CIN

Jameson Taillon: LAD, @CIN

John Lackey: @CIN, @PHI

Patrick Corbin: @NYM, SF

Jon Gray: @KC, @ATL

Tanner Roark: @HOU, NYM

Zach Davies: @SD, @LAD

Clayton Richard: @STL, @MIA

 

At Your Own Risk

 

Mike Foltynewicz: SEA, COL

Steven Matz: ARI, @WAS

Robert Gsellman: ARI, @WAS

Homer Bailey: CHC, PIT

 

Total Games

 

American League

 

6: BAL, DET, HOU, KC, NYY, OAK, SEA, TB, TOR

7: BOS, CLE, LAA, TEX

8: CHW, MIN

 

National League

 

6: ATL, CHC, CIN, COL, MIL, SD, SF, STL

7: ARI, LAD, MIA, PHI, PIT, WAS

8: NYM

 

Streamer City

 

The following pitchers are generally available in over 50 percent of fantasy leagues and have favorable match-ups this week:

 

American League

 

Wednesday, August 23: Erasmo Ramirez @ ATL

Ramirez had a very good start vs. the Angels last weekend, and is set to face a mediocre Braves lineup without the DH next week.

 

Thursday, August 24: Trevor Bauer vs. BOS

Bauer has a 4.72 ERA, but he continues to give reason to use him. He last allowed more than three runs in a start on July 16.

 

Thursday, August 24: Martin Perez @LAA

This will be one of the rare opportunities to use Perez, as the Angels are last in OPS vs. lefties.

 

National League

 

Monday, August 21: Zach Davies @ SF

Davies has been inconsistent this season, but he can’t have a more favorable matchup than the Giants, who rank dead last in OPS vs. right-handed pitchers.

 

Tuesday, August 22: Jose Urena @ PHI

Urena has been very useful this season and faces a Phils lineup that has the fifth worst OPS vs. right-handed pitching this season.

 

Friday, August 25: Chad Bettis @ ATL

Bettis was tremendous in his first start back from cancer this week, and he has a favorable matchup on the road next week against Atlanta.

 

The Infirmary

 

Here’s some injuries to prominent players over the last week, and other players to watch for in the coming week. You can get a full listing of injured players at Rotoworld's Injury Page.

 

Nolan Arenado: Day to day (hand)

Francisco Cervelli: Placed on DL (wrist)

Aroldis Chapman: Day to day (hamstring)

Scott Feldman: Day to day (knee)

Avisail Garcia: Day to day (wrist)

Brian Goodwin: Placed on DL (groin)

Robbie Grossman: Out indefinitely (thumb)

Bryce Harper: Placed on DL (knee)

Odubel Herrera: Could go on DL (hamstring)

Jon Lester: Left Thursday’s start (lat)

Reynaldo Lopez: Left last start (side)

Seth Lugo: Placed on DL (shoulder)

Ryan Madson: Placed on DL (finger)

Brian McCann: Placed on DL (knee)

Devin Mesoraco: Out 3-6 weeks (foot)

Joe Panik: Placed on DL (concussion)

Dustin Pedroia: Placed on DL (knee)

Gregory Polanco: Placed on DL (hamstring)

Jose Ramirez: Day to day (forearm)

Jose Reyes: Placed on DL (oblique)

Trevor Rosenthal: Placed on DL (elbow)

Anibal Sanchez: Left Wednesday’s start (hamstring)

Brent Suter: Placed on DL (shoulder)

Masahiro Tanaka: Placed on DL (shoulder)

Adam Wainwright: Being examined (elbow)



You can find Seth Trachtman on Twitter @sethroto.
Email :Seth Trachtman



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