Mo Yoshimoto

The Takeaway

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Day wins FIO in 6-hole playoff

Monday, January 29, 2018


Farmers Insurance Open

San Diego, CA

 

 

Beginning Sunday’s final round three shots back, past champ and World No. 14 Jason Day crafted a 2-under-par 32-38=70 at Torrey Pines South to match 36-hole leader Ryan Palmer (72) and 54-hole leader Alex Noren (73) on 10-under 278, and then defeated Noren with birdie-4 on the sixth playoff hole (fourth tour of the par-5 18th) on Monday morning, improving his record to 2-1 in sudden death.

 

The 30-year-old, a pre-tourney 20/1 outright, bags his 11th PGA TOUR title in 214 career events, first since his wire-to-wire win at the 2016 PLAYERS 33 starts ago. He was World No. 1 when he won THE PLAYERS (181st career start) and at the time, was his SEVENTH WIN in his previous 17 starts.

 

 

Final Leaderboard:

 

P1- Jason Day 73-64-71-70= 278 (-10)

P2- Alex Noren 70-66-69-73= 278 (-10)

P2- Ryan Palmer 66-67-73-72= 278 (-10)

4- J.B. Holmes 70-72-65-72= 279 (-9)

5- Keegan Bradley 70-69-71-70= 280 (-8)

 

 

Note: The six-hole playoff was the longest in tournament history.

 

 

PLAYOFF SUMMARY:


 

First playoff hole (par-5 18th):

Day: third from 78 yards to 10’5”; made birdie

Noren: third from 82 yards to 21 inches; made birdie

Palmer: missed birdie from 33’8”; eliminated with par

 

Second playoff hole (par-5 18th):

Day: second from 195 yards (left intermediate) to 16’7”; 2-putt birdie

Noren: second from 216 yards to 53’6”; 2-putt birdie

 

Third playoff hole (par-3 16th; 193 yards):

Day: missed birdie (11’7”); 2-putt par

Noren: missed birdie (27’8”); 2-putt par

 

Fourth playoff hole (par-4 17th):

Day: second from 137 yards (fairway bunker) to 27’6”; 2-putt par

Noren: second from 157 yards (fairway bunker) to 44’4”; 2-putt par

 

Fifth playoff hole (par-5 18th):

Day: bunker off the tee; third from 113 yards (fairway) to 6’1”; made birdie

Noren: second from 240 yards (intermediate) to 42’7”; made 5’3” come-backer for birdie

 

PLAY SUSPENDED at 5:34 PM PST (darkness)

PLAY RESUMED at 8:00 AM on Monday

 

Sixth playoff hole (par-5 18th):

Day: rough off the tee, third from 87 yards (fairway) to 18 inches; made birdie for the win

Noren: 2nd from 255 yards (intermediate), water short, PENALTY, missed par from 10’3”

 

 

 

11

 

Playing his 11th season on TOUR, Day has now recorded 63 top-10 finishes (214 career starts) with 25 of those podiums. Along with his 11 wins, he’s also finished runner-up nine times and third-place five times.

 

The Aussie is now 6-for-9 at the Farmers with four top 25s, all four doubling as top 10s, and three of those top 3s, including a T2/2014 and a P1 in 2015. He’d missed his last two cuts in 2016 and 2017 by three shots each time. This was the Columbus, Ohio, resident’s first playoff appearance since here in 2015.

 

 

11

 

Breakdown of Day’s 11 TOUR wins:

9 stroke-play

6 as 54-hole leader/co-leader

3 wire-to-wire (in back-to-back-to-back starts)

3 come from behind (listed below):

 

 

2018 Farmers (come from behind, 3-shot deficit, his largest)

R4: began T5

Shot: 2-under 70

Winning Margin: PLAYOFF

Career Start: 214

 

 

2015 RBC Canadian Open (come from behind, 2-shot deficit)

R4: began T2

Shot: 4-under 68

Winning Margin: 1 shot

Career Start: 165

 

 

2015 Farmers (come from behind, 2-shot deficit)

R4: began T8

Shot: 2-under 70

Winning Margin: PLAYOFF

Career Start: 154

 

 

 

2

 

WGC-Match Play wins (2014 and 2016). Day won the 2014 edition (Dove Mountain, AZ) in a memorable 23-hole final over Victor Dubuisson. He won the 2016 version (Austin CC, TX) with a perfect 7-0-0 record, highlighted by a 5-and-4 thumping of Louis Oosthuizen in the final.

 

 

1

 

Major win in 29 major appearances. Day (as 54-hole leader) won the 2015 PGA Championship at Whistling Straits, WI, by three over Jordan Spieth.

 

 

T113

 

Day’s position on the leaderboard this week after an opening 1-over 73. He shot a week-low 64 in Round 2, catapulting 107 spots to T6.

 

 

10

 

Day entered this week off a 5th at the Emirates Australian Open 10 weeks ago. This was his third start of the PGA TOUR season after a pair of T11s at the WGC-HSBC and the inaugural CJ CUP, both back in October.

 

Worldwide Form: P1-5-T11-T11

Season Form: P1-T11-T11

FedExCup Rank: 9th (UP 67)

OWGR: 10th (UP four)

 

 

18th

 

Last season, Day finished 18th in the FEC standings and went winless for the first time since 2013. He tallied 12 top 25s in 20 events, but his five top 10s were his lowest total since four in 2012. He also had just one top-3 finish (P2, Byron Nelson) after five and six, respectively, in the previous two seasons.

 

 

Wins by Season:

 

2018: 1

2017: 0

2016: 3

2015: 5

2014: 1

2010: 1

 

 

Side-Notes: Day’s win was the fourth worldwide in four weeks for TaylorMade’s new M drivers with Twist Face technology. This was his first win since making a caddie change at the 2017 BMW Championship (finished 4th) during last season’s FEC Playoffs.

 

 

 

How Day Reached Sudden Death:

 

 

After kicking off with 73, week-low 64 and 71, Day began T5, three back.

 

Playing out of the third-to-last threesome, he hit six (of 14) fairways and 10 greens in regulation, gaining 3.014 strokes tee-to-green. Day went out in bogey-free 4-under, circling holes 3, 6 (tied Noren for lead), 7 and 9, but came home in birdie-less 2-over, squaring 11 (3-putt from 32'8") and 15. He posted 1.700 putts per GIR and 1.765 SG: Putting with 26 total putts. No putt was more crucial than a 6’8” come-backer for par at the 17th, where he’d raced his birdie try (from 49’5”) well past the cup.  

 

 

 

Round 4 Stats Comparison (ranking of 77 players):

 

 

SG: Off-the-Tee:

Day: 1.04 (13th)

Noren: -0.41 (52nd)

Palmer: 1.35 (6th)

 

SG: Approach-the-Green:

Day: 0.25 (34th)

Noren: 1.29 (19th)

Palmer: 0.97 (25th)

 

SG: Around-the-Green:

Day: 1.72 (8th)

Noren: 0.57 (28th)

Palmer: -0.49 (51st)

 

SG: Putting:

Day: 1.76 (15th)

Noren: 0.33 (32nd)

Palmer: 0.95 (21st)

 

SG: Total:

Day: 4.78 (T3)

Noren: 1.78 (T18)

Palmer: 2.78 (T12)

 

Putts:

Day: 26 (T6)

Noren: 31 (T56)

Palmer: 28 (T20)

 

 

 

Day’s Position by Round:

 

 

R1: T113

R2: T6

R3: T5

R4: T1

 

 

Noren’s Position by Round:

 

 

R1: T35

R2: 5

R3: 1

R4: T1

 

 

Palmer’s Position by Round:

 

 

R1: T2

R2: 1

R3: 2

R4: T1

 

 

 

Leader/co-leaders by Round:

 

 

R1: Tony Finau (finished T6): Drops to 0-for-3 as 18-hole leader/co-leader

 

R2: Ryan Palmer (P2): Drops to 2-for-6 as 36-hole leader/co-leader

 

R3: Alex Noren (P2): Drops to 0-for-1 as 54-hole leader/co-leader

 

R4: Jason Day (P1): Improves to 2-1 in playoffs

R4: Alex Noren (P2): Drops to 0-1

R4: Ryan Palmer (P2): Drops to 0-3

 

 

Note: Before this week, Day’s last playoff appearance was the 2015 Farmers (won). His one playoff loss came at the 2017 AT&T Byron Nelson.

 

 

 

Field Scoring Average:

 

 

This was the 66th playing of the Farmers, 51st with the South Course as the host. The final two rounds are played on the South only:

 

 

South Course (SC) host: 7,698 yards; par 72 (36-36)

North Course (NC): 7,258 yards; par 72 (36-36)

 

 

SC: 72.82 (four rounds)

NC: 71.41 (two rounds)

 

TOTAL: 72.35

 

Note: Keegan Bradley (70-69-71-70) was the ONLY player with four sub-par rounds.

 

 

 

Day’s Weekly Stats (ranking of 77 players):

 

 

Birdies: 21 (1st)

Bogeys: 9 (T9)

Doubles: 1 (T25)

 

 

Par-3 Scoring: 3.13 (T40)

Par-4 Scoring: 3.90 (T1)

Par-5 Scoring: 4.50 (T10)

 

 

Driving Accuracy: 30/56 (T26) at 53.57%

GIR: 49/72 (T11) at 68.06%

Putts per GIR: 1.633 (4th)

Total Putts: 110 (T8)

Putts by Round: 31-24-29-26

Scrambling: 15/23 (T17) at 65.22%

All Around: (1st)

 

 

Note: Strokes gained stats are only recorded on the South Course

 

 

 

Draw:

 

 

There wasn’t a traditional draw this week, so we’ll look at the course rotation for the top-5 finishers.

 

In total, 77 pros from a field of 155 pros and one amateur made the cut of 1-under 143.

 

Began SOUTH: 43 of 78

Began NORTH: 34 of 78

 

 

Of the 11 players who finished in the top 10, NINE began on the South, including all top-5 finishers:

 

SOUTH: Jason Day (P1), Alex Noren (P2), Ryan Palmer (P2), J.B. Holmes (4th), Keegan Bradley (5th), Charles Howell III (T6), Robert Garrigus (T8), Harris English (T8), Marc Leishman (T8)

 

Note: Day is eighth straight winner to begin on the South

 

NORTH: Tony Finau (T6), Justin Rose (T8)

 

 

 

Low Rounds:

 

 

R1: 65: Tony Finau (NC)

R2: 64: Jason Day (NC)

 

R3: 65: J.B. Holmes

R4: 69: Hideki Matsuyama, Charles Howell III

 

 

 

Bogey-free Rounds:

 

 

R1: Ted Potter, Jr. (66-SC); Ryan Palmer (66-SC); Peter Uihlein (68-NC); Rory Sabbatini (68-NC); Nick Watney (69-SC)

R2: Jason Day (64-NC); Jon Rahm (66-NC); Cameron Smith (68-SC); Kevin Streelman (68-NC); Beau Hossler (68-NC)

R3: Beau Hossler (69); Justin Rose (69)

R4: Abraham Ancer (70)

 

 

Multiple bogey-free rounds:

 

(x2): Hossler

 

 

 

Leaderboard Notes:

 

 

Noren:

Season Form: P2-T31

Farmers Form: P2

FEC Rank: 34th (UP 130); career high

OWGR: 16th (UP three)

Career Starts: 36

Top 10s: 5

Top 3s: 1

Runner-up: 1

 

 

Palmer:

Season Form: P2-T20-T58

Farmers Form: P2-CUT-WD-T35-CUT

FEC Rank: 31st (UP 118)

OWGR: 92nd (UP 113)

Career Starts: 363 (362 pro)

Top 10s: 50

Top-3 Finishes: 17

Runners-up: 9

 

 

Holmes:

Season Form: 4-CUT-T67

Farmers Form: 4-T33-T6-P2-T23-CUT-CUT-T63-T27

FEC Rank: 81st (UP 127)

OWGR: 75th (UP 15)

Career Starts: 272 (271 pro)

Top-10 Finishes: 37

 

 

Bradley K:

Season Form: 5-T39-T47-2-CUT

Farmers Form: 5-T4-CUT-T41-T16-CUT-T22-T25

FEC Rank: 17th (UP five)

OWGR: 64th (UP nine)

Career Starts: 188

Top-10 Finishes: 34

 

 

 

Career-Best Finishes (TOUR members):

 

 

Noren (P2)

 

Lanto Griffin (T12)

Career Start: 10

Career Top 10s: 1

 

Corey Conners (T29)

Career Start: 18 (14 pro)

Career Top 10s: 0

 

 

 

Updated Top 10 in FEC standings (points):

 

 

Day collects 500 FEC points for the victory and jumps 67 places to 9th in the FEC standings, 594 points behind leader Patton Kizzire (idle), who stays atop the standings for a third event in a row and fifth week overall this season.

 

 

1. Patton Kizzire (1,224)

2. Jon Rahm (848)

3. Pat Perez (761)

4. Dustin Johnson (718)

5. Austin Cook (699)

6. Brendan Steele (649); UP two

7. Justin Thomas (640); DOWN one

8. Brian Harman (630); DOWN one

9. Jason Day (630); UP 67

10. Justin Rose (628)

 

 

Note: Patrick Cantlay (617) dropped from 9th to 11th with a T51

 

 

 

Season Leaders in Top-10 Finishes:

 

 

Brian Harman: 5

Patton Kizzire: 4

Andrew Landry: 3

Pat Perez: 3

Marc Leishman: 3

Brian Stuard: 3

Chesson Hadley: 3

 

 

 

Updated Top 10 in OWGR:

 

 

With a Strength of Field rating of 385 (down from 400 last year), Day banks 54.00 world-ranking points and bumps four spots to 10th in OWGR:

 

 

1. Dustin Johnson

2. Jon Rahm

3. Jordan Spieth

4. Justin Thomas

5. Hideki Matsuyama

6. Justin Rose

7. Rickie Fowler

8. Rory McIlroy (UP three); 2nd at Dubai Desert Classic

9. Brooks Koepka (DOWN one)

10. Jason Day (UP four)

 

 

Notes:

 

Sergio Garcia, T32 at DDC, dropped from 9th to 11th

Henrik Stenson, T6 at DDC, dropped from 10th to 12th. Stenson is out of the top 10 for the first time since 2013.

 

 

 

Field Breakdown & Top-10 Finishes:

 

 

OWGR field average: 316th

OWGR average for top-10 finishers: 93rd    

 

 

11 of the Top 25 in OWGR were in the field

4 finished in the top 10

 

 

19 of the Top 50 OWGR

5 finished in the top 10

 

 

No. 6 Justin Rose (T8)

No. 13 Marc Leishman (T8)

No. 14 Jason Day (P1)

No. 19 Alex Noren (P2)

No. 44 Tony Finau (T6)

 

 

 

Other Top 10s:

 

 

No. 66 Charles Howell III (T6)

No. 73 Keegan Bradley (5th)

No. 90 J.B. Holmes (4th)

No. 205 Ryan Palmer (P2)

No. 250 Robert Garrigus (T8)

No. 252 Harris English (T8)

 

 

 

Other Notables:

 

 

No. 2 Jon Rahm (T29); top-ranked, odds-fave, defender

No. 5 Hideki Matsuyama (T12)

No. 7 Rickie Fowler (CUT); third straight MC at Farmers

No. 647 Tiger Woods (T23); one of six players w/ four rounds par or better

 

 

 

Consecutive Top 10s on TOUR:

 

 

Justin Rose (T8-1-T10-T2-T10-T10)

Dustin Johnson (1-T2)

 

 

 

Consecutive Top-10 streaks ended:

 

 

Jon Rahm (T29-P1-2)

 

 

 

TOUR Rookies &/or First-Timers:

 

 

TOUR Rookies: 22

Top-10 finishes: 0

 

 

Brandon Harkins: In the field off his top 10 at the CareerBuilder (T8), the California native shared top-rookie honors with T12 on 5-under 283 (70-70-70-73). It’s the second time this season in eight starts, second straight, where he was the top rookie. The 31-year-old is tied for the season lead in top-25 finishes with six.

 

Season Form: T12-T8-T25-T49-T25-T20-CUT-T9

 

Starts: 8

Made Cuts: 7

 

Top 25s: 6

Top 10s: 2

 

FEC Rank: 26th (UP six)

OWGR: 225th (UP 45); career high

 

 

Lanto Griffin: The California native shared top-rookie honors with T12 on 5-under 283 (72-68-69-74). It’s the first time this season eight starts where he’s been low rookie.

 

Season Form: T12-CUT-T58-CUT-T61-CUT-CUT-CUT

 

Starts: 8

Made Cuts: 3

 

Top 25s: 1

Top 10s: 0

 

FEC Rank: 130th (UP 61); career high

OWGR: 340th (UP 53)

 

 

 

First-Timers: 33

Top-10 finishes: 1

 

 

Alex Noren: Making his tournament debut, the 54-hole leader and World No. 19 tacked on a 1-over-par 35-38=73 in Sunday's final round to match clubhouse leader Day (70) and playing competitor Palmer (72) on 10-under 278, and then lost a hard-fought battle to Day on Monday. He drops to 0-for-1 as 54-hole leader/co-leader and 0-1 in playoffs.

 

Playing his first full season on TOUR after finishing in the Top 125 in non-member FEC points last season, the 34-year-old, who’s won nine time in 246 career starts on the European Tour, was vying for his first TOUR title in his 36th career start. He settles for a career-best P2, supplanting a previous-best T5 at the 2017 WGC-Match Play and a T6 at the 2017 Open (in stroke-play events).

 

After kicking off in 70-66-69, the Oklahoma State alum began with a one-shot lead over Palmer, three clear of Day. He hit seven (of 14) fairways and 14 GIR, No. 1 for the week in GIR at 79.17 percent (57/72). The Swede outpaced three circles at Nos. 5, 7 and 9, with four squares at 3 (3-putt from 50'6"), 6, 12 (3-putt from 36'5") and 14 (tee ball OB), and missed birdie from 13’1” to win on the 72nd hole.

 

 

 

Picking a Winner:

 

 

12

 

Through 12 events this season:

 

 

4 winners were in their 20s

6 were in their 30s (Day: age: 30)

2 were in their 40s

 

 

9

 

9 (of 12) winners had a top-25 finish the start prior (75.0%):

Day, T11 (WGC-HSBC)

 

 

4

 

4 (of 12) winners had a top-10 finish the start prior (33.3%):

 

 

 

38/1

 

Average winner’s pre-tourney odds outright (rounded)

 

 

7.6%

 

In the last 105 events on TOUR, the pre-tourney fave/co-fave has won 8 times for a conversion percentage of 7.6%.

 

 

This Season:

 

12 tournaments

2 pre-tourney faves/co-fave won:

 

Jon Rahm: 8/1 (CareerBuilder)

Justin Thomas: 15/2 (CJ CUP)

 

 

Last Season:

 

47 tournaments

4 pre-tourney faves/co-fave won:

 

 

Henrik Stenson: 14/1 Wyndham (co-fave)

Jordan Spieth: 12/1 The Open

Jordan Spieth: 8/1 Travelers

Dustin Johnson: 13/2 WGC-Mexico

 

 

This week’s favorite(s):

 

Jon Rahm (7/1): The defending champ finished T29 on 2-under 286. He was solo 2nd after 36 holes (68-66), but played the weekend in 75-77.  

 

 

Last week’s winner(s):

 

Same as above

 

 

 

7

 

7 (of 12) winners this season have emerged out of the FINAL group on Sunday (58.3%)

 

 

Outliers:

 

 

Jason Day (Farmers): Third-to-last threesome; erased 3-shot deficit w/ 2-under 70; won 3-man PLAYOFF (Noren, Palmer)

 

Jon Rahm (CareerBuilder): Penultimate threesome; erased 2-shot deficit w/ 5-under 67; won 2-man PLAYOFF (Landry)

 

Patrick Cantlay (Shriners): Third-to-last threesome; erased 4-shot deficit w/ 4-under 67; won 3-man PLAYOFF (Cejka, Kim W)

 

Justin Rose (WGC-HSBC): Penultimate threesome; erased 8-shot deficit w/ 5-under 67; won by two (Stenson, Koepka, Johnson D)

 

Brendan Steele (Safeway): Penultimate threesome; defender erased 2-shot deficit w/ 3-under 69; won by one (Finau)

 

 

 



You can find Mo on Twitter @Bears3423.
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