Steve Rothgeb

Weekly Picks

print article archives RSS

Fuzzy's FPL Favorites - GW7

Thursday, September 27, 2018


Well, that was one of the better red arrow weeks I have had in some time.

 

Yes, Week 6 did end in a red arrow for your humble columnist. But, there are plenty of positives to take away from this round if you happen to be in the same situation as me. That situation being, having a team with no Mo Salah and no Harry Kane in a week where they both score while Eden Hazard and a captained Aguero could only combine to produce an assist. This is the sort of scenario that had me worried, getting burned by two FPL giants like Salah and Kane and then scrambling to find a way to get them in. But, it did not really hurt as much as I would have thought. Yes, my rank went down, but it was not a massive drop. Salah is still the highest owned midfielder in the game and was captained more than any other player, but his inability to collect bonus points is what makes his price outweigh his production. That extra money seems to be helping managers in other areas of the pitch. Selling him for Hazard a couple of weeks back allowed me to upgrade a 5m midfielder who was burning a hole on my roster into James Maddison last week, so that tells me all I need to know. Hazard will not blank most weeks.

 

I mean, did you see that goal he scored against Liverpool midweek? WOW.

 

So yeah, life without Salah can be a productive life when you weigh the difference in price between him and Hazard and what that extra cash can do. Hazard is already out-performing Salah, so you win there and then you are turning a 5m enabler into a very effective James Maddison. Meanwhile, Kane was able to dip into the bonus, but the pressure to go out and get him is subdued by the fact that the goal came from the spot. We are still waiting to see him rip it up in open play. With the news of Christian Eriksen missing out for the coming weekend, Spurs will be missing their creative engine. So, despite a tasty matchup against Huddersfield (and I would still consider Kane an option for the armband, mostly due to the Chelsea v Liverpool fixture lowering expectations for either side), I feel like Kane non-owners can withstand another round without him. I have been looking for the most opportune time to play my first half wildcard. I think the strategy will be to wait until a week where having no Kane and no Salah is no longer acceptable. I can play the wildcard, bring them in without spending points and build a new squad around them.

 

Right then, without further ado, not that there was an overabundance of ado to begin with, let's dive into Week 7:

 

 

Follow the entire Rotoworld Premier League team on Twitter: Neal | Steve | Andrew | Sean | Stag | Ben | Galin | Nik

 

 

TO HAVE AND TO HOLD

 

So now it is time to look at the players to think about ahead of Week 4. As a reminder, there are four categories of players which I feel are worth mentioning week to week when making decisions about transfers....

 

1) Players to buy

2) Players to sell

3) Players to hold onto

4) Players to avoid buying

 

I will also include later in the section, my top choices for the captain's armband. While I will consider every player from A to Z, you will normally find the usual suspects there.

 

Right, so let's dive in...

 

GOALKEEPERS

 

*Just as a reminder, keepers should always be the last position to think about using transfers for, unless there is an urgent need. So, when you see who I have listed here, bear in mind that my keeper advice does not carry as much weight as the outfield positions.

 

Player to buy: Petr Cech - Arsenal's defense went without a clean sheet in their first five games, and none of us were sure of who would be starting between the veteran Cech and summer signing Bernd Leno. Well, after hearing positive support from Unai Emery in the press, the Gunners coming off their first cleanie, and Cech's maximum bonus effort has me ready to jump on the train early. The Gunners have a nice run of fixtures and Cech is the cheapest route to the back.  Bear in mind as well, Cech has six saves or more in three of his six starts, so he is prone to offering something even when Arsenal concede.

 

Player to sell: Jordan Pickford - This time, it's personal.  Still the fourth-highest owned keeper in the game, I don't care what the matchups are, I am done with Jordan Pickford. Chalk it up as irreconcilable differences, but I cannot stand it any longer. You cannot find a starting keeper that has done worse. I mean, even Marcus Bettinelli, who wasn't given the gig until Week 3, hasn't kept a clean sheet yet and even has a yellow card in his short time playing, has outscored Pickford. The frustrating thing is, Pickford can only improve upon his start. Because "anything" is better than "nothing".

 

Player to hold: Asmir Begovic - Bournemouth's defending had been poor heading into last weekend, then things really turned sour as they conceded four to Burnley. One could look at it as a final straw to get rid of Begovic, but I see the Burnley result as a potential wake-up call for Eddie Howe and we should see a more focused, determined back from the Cherries at home this weekend against Crystal Palace and again at home against Southampton two weeks later.

 

Player to avoid: Ben Foster - Plenty of negatives regarding Watford's defense have emerged in the past week. Their best defender, Christian Kabasele, is suspended for the coming weekend, regular right back Daryl Janmaat is now on the shelf following knee surgery and Jose Holebas is back to his old ways, picking up a fourth yellow card in five weeks, meaning he is one caution away from a suspension himself. All that and a trip to Arsenal this weekend should be enough to keep you away from this budget option.

 

 

DEFENDERS

 

Player to buy: Kieran Trippier - Last week, my defender nominated as one to sell was "any Spur not named Trippier". Well, not only do I stand by that notion, I now elevate Trippier to the top buy at the position this week. Full of "pro's", the major "con" to his ownership is the presence of Serge Aurier. Pochettino has two talented options at either fullback role and we saw him rotate them regularly last season, especially when the fixtures start to pile up closer to winter. Well, Aurier is on the shelf for at least a month, so no surprise benchings for Trippier on tap. What is on tap are three nice fixtures in a row to make investment pay off immediately, with Huddersfield, Cardiff and West Ham lined up.

 

Player to sell: Joe Gomez - I would not wait to see if Gomez, who was out of the XI last week, gets inserted back in. Several reasons - first, Joel Matip could very well take the gig for a stretch and Dejan Lovren is now back in the mix after his return in cup action midweek. If I had to bet, Gomez is most likely to start, but his place is certainly under more threat now. Second, the fixtures should make it easier to part with him, having Chelsea away then hosting Manchester City the next two rounds. Third, for the same price, you can have a much more appealing option for fantasy in Trent Alexander-Arnold. So cut Gomez now and add TA-A in a few weeks when the fixtures improve.

 

Player to hold: Ben Chilwell - Last week, in this spot, I nominated "Leicester defenders", and I still think there is value to be had there. But, with Ricardo Pereira's dropping and several options that could partner Harry Maguire at any time, it is Maguire and Ben Chilwell that are the most settled. Chilwell is the better fantasy choice and managers who currently own him picked a solid weapon. Among the league leaders in crosses, he is doing all he can to register an attacking return but it has not come yet. Unless the fantasy gods want to make a point to troll the young man, returns are past due.

 

Player to avoid: Marcos Alonso - There 's a good chance you have him already, but let me cater to the 55% of managers who do not. Every week without Alonso seems to hurt, and because he the most expensive at his position, it can take a bit of work to transfer him in without spending points. In the early weeks, I advised to spend four points to get him before you fall behind any more and his price continues to climb. This is the first week where I say, "Do not do this." I cannot predict the outcome of the match with Liverpool, but I feel it is either going to be tight or open for both sides. It is an either/or situation at best in terms of chances at a clean sheet and attacking points, and this week looks more likely for a 2 point return. So, if you've finally set yourself up to add him, just hold that move until next week.

 

 

MIDFIELDERS

 

Player to buy: Richarlison - After a hot start followed by a three match ban, it has been a roller-coaster season for Richarlison and we are still only in September. While Cenk Tosun continues to take up space up top, Richarlison is the talisman in Everton's side and, despite blanking on his return last week, looks fresh and sharp. It is a perfect atmosphere to bring him in this week, as Everton at home facing a very weak Fulham defense. We know the kid has brace potential so this could be a monster week for him, justifying his purchase immediately.

 

Player to sell: Roberto Pereyra - After making the right call last week that David Silva would be rested, I feel like I should spend this space guessing which Man City mid sits every week. Instead, I will tell Pereyra owners to go ahead and cash out on the .1m profit that might have been earned for bringing the Watford mid in immediately after his early-season explosion. Watford's sizzling start will likely cool off somewhat, and goals will not be plentiful enough to look past their strikers for FPL purposes.

 

Player to hold: Andros Townsend - Townsend has not scored a goal or an assist in the league yet this season, despite starting every match. So, there may be a select few of you out there that would have him in your squad. When Townsend does make a fantasy impact, it tends to come in bunches and we may see a bunch come in the short term, as the winger is surely feeling confident after scoring a brace in midweek cup action. With the Eagles playing a Bournemouth side that just coughed up four goals to Burnley, Townsend is due and well-positioned to get his first attacking points of the season.

 

Player to avoid: Aaron Lennon - A goal, an assist and three bonus points for Lennon. No, that is not his totals from last season. He didn't score last season...or the year before that. Lennon is enjoying life at Burnley, getting plenty of playing time as a regular, but his game is not rewarded kindly by FPL. Johann Berg Gudmundsson is still the option from midfield here, thanks to his more consistent assist output, largely due to his dominance on set pieces. Sure, Lennon could find another goal here, an assist or two there, spread over the season, but his chances of providing returns with the regularity you would expect, even from a 5m player, are slim. He may not even remain a starter once Robbie Brady is up to speed, with Brady working the left flank, flipping Gudmundsson over to Lennon's spot.

 

FORWARDS

 

Player to buy: Jamie Vardy - While Leicester fans certainly did not enjoy seeing their talisman absent for weeks due to suspension, it may be an inadvertent blessing for fantasy managers. Vardy stayed off the radar when his ban ended and saw a drop in price. Coming off a classic Vardy outing, in which he scored and assisted, combined with a favorable schedule for the Foxes makes this one of the safer additions to your side.

 

Player to sell: Romelu Lukaku - Yes, maybe it is a bit unfair to say goodbye to a striker after only one blank. I mean, even with the blank, he has three goals over his last three matches. But, let's face it, Manchester United are a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde mess at the moment. There is a cloud around them following a draw at home to Wolves, then getting knocked out of the Carabao Cup by Derby County. Now, they travel to West Ham, a side feeling confident after shutting Chelsea's attack down at home. If Sergio Aguero is considered a "must-own", then there is space for only one more premium striker and I would rather have a cheaper option like Alexandre Lacazette or Vardy in that spot.

 

Player to hold: Marko Arnautovic - This call is dependent upon what comes out of West Ham's presser before the match, but unless Arnautovic is officially ruled out, I would hold on to him. Things look to be turning around for the Hammers and they can only be helped with Arnie in the side. So despite what traditionally may seem a tough fixture in Manchester United and the injury flag, which must be the two main reasons an owner is thinking of parting ways, I say keep the faith here.

 

Player to avoid: Ashley Barnes - This looks like a classic case of chasing points to me. While Barnes did everything to earn a start this weekend after bagging a brace off the bench last weekend, part of the dilemma for him is, both starting forwards, Sam Vokes and Matej Vydra, played well too. They were more responsible for wearing Bournemouth down while Barnes came in with fresh legs to finish them off. So, I am not even sure Barnes cracks the XI this week, but even if he does, it is difficult to imagine an extended run of starts given the options Sean Dyche has at the position.

 

 

TOP CAPTAIN CHOICES

 

1) Sergio Aguero

2) Harry Kane

3) Eden Hazard

4) Raheem Sterling

5) Richarlison

 

That's it from me this week folks. Please, bear in mind much can change between the publishing of this column and the FPL deadline on Saturday. Remember, some injuries are not revealed until just before the deadline, and there are usually a few extra surprises in this regard coming out of an international break. Always try to refrain from executing your transfers for as long as possible to avoid wasting it on a player who turns out to have had a problem in training. That said, if you only have just enough money for the player you are looking to bring in and that player is at risk of rising in price, then sometimes you need to take a calculated risk and hope the fantasy gods will be kind to you.

 

Good luck, and may your arrows be green.



Steve Rothgeb is a contributor for Rotoworld.com and WorldSoccerTalk.com, a self-proclaimed fantasy sports oracle, and Tottenham Hotspur fanatic. He can be found on Twitter @FuzzyWarbles.
Email :Steve Rothgeb



Highest Searched Players over the last 7 days



Video Center

  •  
    Player News: Week 7

    Player News: Week 7
  •  
    Matchups: Week 7

    Matchups: Week 7
  •  
    Dose: Broncos Destroy Cards

    Dose: Broncos Destroy Cards
  •  
    DFS Analysis: Hopkins, Mixon

    DFS Analysis: Hopkins, Mixon
  •  
    Dose: Hilton expected back

    Dose: Hilton expected back
  •  
    Digging for a Trade?

    Digging for a Trade?
  •  
    Dose: Freeman to IR

    Dose: Freeman to IR
  •  
    Dose: Rodgers plays hero again

    Dose: Rodgers plays hero again