Sean Sullivan

Weekly Picks

print article archives RSS

FPL Transfer Tracker - Week 6

Thursday, September 20, 2018


After two seasons, 76 editions and more than 600 waiver-wire recommendations, Sean’s Super Subs is dead. Togga, sadly, has taken a hiatus for the 2018/19 season which means Super Subs, consequently, has been forced into early retirement.

 

Hello readers, old and new, and welcome to FPL Transfer Targets.  My new Thursday column will be focused on the Official Fantasy Premier League format and is an entirely new creation. So, what can you expect?

 

Each week, I will take a statistically-focused look at the five most sought-after targets in the FPL transfer market and provide my stance on whether or not they merit consideration.  There will also be some form of an opening ramble to read (or scroll past) and an additional tip of the week. Before we get down to business, here is how I’ve fared through the first five Gameweeks.



 

 


 Follow the entire Rotoworld Premier League team on Twitter

Neal | Steve | Andrew |Sean (Me) | Stag | Ben | Nik | Chuck 


 

FPL Transfer Tracker - Gameweek 6 

 

Eden Hazard (£10.8m)


Hazard’s hat-trick against Cardiff City made significant waves in the FPL transfer market.  The Chelsea midfielder’s haul of 20 points at the weekend has earned him over 400,000 news managers ahead of Gameweek 6.  Hazard’s form has been second to none as he now boasts a league-best five goals and is the highest-scoring player in FPL on 47 points. No player has been directly involved in more goals than the Belgian (7), who is averaging a goal every 53 minutes since returning to the starting XI three matches ago.

 

As someone who has both Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane at the moment, bringing in Hazard is pretty much a no-brainer.  Salah is still a must-own asset as he ranks second in shots (23), second in shots on target (9) and second in shots inside the penalty area (14).  Mane has made a strong start to the season, but Hazard has matched his underlying statistics and provided better returns despite playing 126 fewer minutes thus far.  Further support of Hazard can be found in Chelsea’s trip to West Ham this week. The Hammers have yet to keep a clean sheet and are conceding the third most shots per game (15.4) this season.

 

Ryan Fraser (£5.7m)


Fraser is a budget midfielder who merits serious consideration after based on his early form.  The Scottish international scored twice and assisted against Leicester City at the weekend and now boasts three goals and two assists from five starts.  

 

GW

Opponent

FPL Points

Returns

Performance Data

Match Rating

1

Cardiff (H)

11

Goal

Shots (2), Key Passes (3)

8/10

2

West Ham (A)

6

Assist

Shots (1), Key Passes (2)

7/10

3

Everton (H)

2

-

Shots (2), Key Passes (4)

7/10

4

Chelsea (A)

2

-

Shots (2)

6/10

5

Leicester (H)

18

2 Goals, Assist

Shots (2), Key Passes (2)

9/10



No Bournemouth player has created more chances and bi than Fraser (11), six of which were big chances (most in the league).  The third-highest scoring midfielder on 39 points, Fraser is in the free transfer conversation with Bournemouth looking like a good bet against out-of-sorts Burnley in Gameweek 6.  The Clarets are conceding a league-high 20.6 shots per match and without a clean sheet since opening weekend. This weekend’s game is the first of four in the next five Gameweeks where the Cherries will be favored based on form. Fraser is the top cut-price midfielder for me.



Lucas Moura (£7.3m)


The Brazilian has emerged as Harry Kane’s strike partner with Mauricio Pochettino currently using a two-forward system after scoring three goals in the first three Gameweeks.  Should he continue starting, the prospects are bright since three of Tottenham’s next four matches score just two in Fixture Difficult Rankings (FDR).



GW

Opponent

Goals Allowed Per Game

Shots Allowed Per Game

FDR

6

Brighton (A)

1.8

14.8

3

7

Huddersfield (A)

2.2

15.4

2

8

Cardiff City (H)

1.8

12.8

2

9

West Ham (A)

2.2

15.6

2



Moura’s upside, though, comes with rotation concerns.  With Heung-Min Son back in contention following South Korea’s success at the Asian Games, Moura could see a dip in starts if Pochettino reverts to a single forward set. Once Dele Alli recovers from a hamstring injury, the line of thought it that the trio will be vying for two spots. Moura should start against Brighton in Gameweek 6 after coming off the bench at midweek, but I won’t be considering him until we see how Pochettino operates when all three are fully fit.      



Aleksandar Mitrovic (6.8m)


Mitrovic has delivered four goals, an assist and 29 FPL points in the last four matches.  I can already hear the recency basis chants now. However, if you take into account his underlying metrics, the case for the Serbian as the top forward target this week isn’t a hard one.


If you’re in the market for a forward priced at  £7.0m or under, I won't let the factor Mitrovic didn’t score against Manchester City dissuade you from giving him a look.  His 31 points are bettered only by Sergio Aguero (37) in the forward rankings and Cottagers are home to Watford and away at Everton in their next two matches.  Mitrovic is a worthy cut-price investment for those wanting an alternative to Wilfried Zaha £7.0m.



Romelu Lukaku (£11.0m)

 

The Belgian international is back on the menu after scoring four goals in the last four match.  Despite not starting until Gameweek 2, Lukaku still places amongst the most influential forwards in all the right statistics.  He ranks second in both shots on target (9) and shots outside of the box (8), and third shots in the penalty area (13). In the FPL forwards standings, his total of 29 points is bettered only by Aleksandar Mitrovic (31) and Sergio Aguero (37).  


Player

Price

Ownership

Goals

Shots per game

SOT per game

Kane

£12.5

26.2%

2

2.4

0.8

Aguero

£11.4

50.9%

3

5.0

1.4

Lukaku

£11.0

10.2%

4

3.0

1.8

Aubameyang

£10.9

11.9%

1

2.4

0.8

Jesus

£10.4

2.0%

1

2.6

1.8


Based on the numbers above, Lukaku is the top premium-priced forward to pair with Sergio Aguero ahead of Gameweek 6.  More support for Big Rom is rooted to Manchester United’s forthcoming fixtures. Four of their next five matches register just two in the Fixture Difficulty Rankings, including two opponents which Lukaku has had no trouble scoring against throughout his career. 



Tip of the Week - James Maddison (£6.6m) vs. Huddersfield Town

 

The case for Maddison is two-fold.  The England Under-21 international has stuffed the stat sheets over the last two matches, notching a goal from nine shots and an assist from four key passes, and Leicester City seems like a good bet at home against Huddersfield Town in Gameweek 6.  The Terriers have conceded eight goals and allowed 21.5 shots during their travels and are still without a clean sheet after five matches. Maddison, the ninth-highest scoring midfielder with 26 FPL points, represents a nifty differential as just 5.4% of teams select him.  Furthermore, six of the Foxes next seven matches are against clubs currently in the bottom half of the table, with the exception being a trip to Arsenal in Gameweek 9.









Email :Sean Sullivan





Video Center

  •  
    Silva: Week 6 Matchups

    Silva: Week 6 Matchups
  •  
    Player News: Week 6

    Player News: Week 6
  •  
    Dose: Wentz dominates NYG

    Dose: Wentz dominates NYG
  •  
    NASCAR Fantasy: Talladega

    NASCAR Fantasy: Talladega
  •  
    DFS Analysis: Winston, Carson

    DFS Analysis: Winston, Carson
  •  
    Dose: Sitting Fournette

    Dose: Sitting Fournette
  •  
    Dose: McCoy back to PHI?

    Dose: McCoy back to PHI?
  •  
    Buy or Sell DJax?

    Buy or Sell DJax?