Sean Sullivan

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Sean's Super Subs - Week 18

Friday, December 15, 2017


Before we get down to business, I would like to take a brief moment to introduce a new weekly podcast featuring fellow RotoWorld expert @ChuckBoothSport and myself—FPL 360.  Each episode, we will recap the previous GW and provide our thoughts on where the value can be found in the premierleague.com official fantasy format as well as Togga draft leagues.  On our inaugural episode, which was quite an interesting spectacle, Chuck and I breakdown the top stories form a crazy midweek and shed light on which players to target ahead of GW18

 

FPL 360 GW18: Nothing Bold About Brighton


Over the last 15 days, I’ve dug deep and scoured the free agent market to bring you 21 recommends.  GW15 provided two top-five players at their respective positions, as Jesse Lingard scored a brace and Ashley Williams proved the statistical trends true by posting 19.25 points against Huddersfield Town.  GW16 was highlighted by three specific predictions.  Wilfried Bony and Demarai Gray both scored, while Johann Berg Gudmundsson tallied an assist and attempted more crosses than any other Burnley player (10).  In GW17, Jonjoe Kenny continued to shine with another clean sheet and an assist. Plus, we saw big returns from both of my one-week tips.  Bernardo Silva was heavily involved on the attack against Swansea City, recording an assist and five key passes, while Kevin Long grabbed a clean sheet and ranked as a top-20 defenders.   That being said, the pool of qualified players for GW18 is significantly depleted.  However, that does not mean it’s null and void.  This week’s picks that into account matchups to exploit and players in position to supply solid returns thanks to necessity.  

 

 

So, here’s what you need to know to maximize my advice.  This column is reserved for weekly free agent adds for Togga draft leagues and features only players owned in less than 50 percent of all leagues. Players that make each column will be classified as; streaming options, (one-week adds), short-term/long-term adds (worth holding for a specific duration of matches) or a must-adds (should be owned in all leagues).


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Goalkeeper

 

 

 

Adrian, West Ham (6 percent):  Having reclaimed the No 1 role at West Ham, Adrian is the top goalkeeper to add this week.  Since the Spaniard was merely expected to be Joe Hart’s understudy this season, he is readily available despite coming off successive clean sheets against Chelsea and Arsenal.  West Ham defense were compact and organized against formidable attacks the last three matches, conceding just two goals in the defeat at Manchester City. Adrian made six saves in that match, and now faces a Stoke City side that have scored just three goals in their last five matches.  He also offers long-term upside thanks to a less than daunting list of upcoming fixtures—Newcastle, Bournemouth, West Brom and Huddersfield.    


Defenders

 

 

 

Cuco Martina, Everton (14 percent):   With Leighton Baines currently unavailable, Martina has proven his worth as a makeshift left-back.  The 28-year-old has helped keep three clean sheets in the last four matches, with Everton picking up 10 points of a possible 12.  Martina was subject to some criticism for Mohamed Salah’s goal in the Merseyside derby, but the stats show the Curacao international was actually the club’s best defender during GW16. He recorded more tackles and interceptions than any other Toffee, while his nine clearances were only surpassed by center-back Mason Holgate (11).  With Martina averaging 13.41 points the last three matches, the visit of Swansea City on Monday puts him firmly in the streaming conversation.  The Swans have failed to score in four of their last six away matches and rank bottom of the league in shots on target per game (1.9).  Should Everton keep a clean sheet in GW18, Martina is a top-15 play.  

 

 

 

Scott Dann, Crystal Palace (4 percent):   A constant source for clearances and aerials won, Dann has won four or more in his last four matches.  Making his first start since returning from injury, the center-back made 11 clearances and won a season-high eight aerial duels in the hectic 2-1 win over Watford.  With Mamadou Sakho sidelined for an unknown period by a serious calf strain, Dann will again have see tons of action when Crystal Palace travel to Leicester City on Saturday.  The 30-year-old is a plugin option for 12-team leagues.  

 

 

 

Marcos Rojo, Manchester United (16 percent):   Jose Mourinho revealed after Wednesday’s win over Bournemouth that Eric Bailly will be sidelined for a significant period, meaning Rojo could see a few starts during the festive period.  Given how strong Manchester United have been at the back thanks to David de Gea, it makes sense to consider the Argentine as a bench add.  Chris Smalling and Phil Jones are currently fit, but given their injury history chances are Mourinho will likely look to afford them rest when possible.  If you can hold a defender, Rojo is the one to scoop.  


 

Midfielders




Eric Dier, Tottenham (30 percent):   Normally, Dier is an afterthought given his low-ceiling as a midfielder who plays in central defense.  However, against Manchester City, the England international is an intriguing option in deeper leagues.  Dier has played alongside Jan Vertonghen in central defense in the absence of Toby Alderweireld, and he’s in line for a massive workload in a clash with the Premier League’s best attack.  Dier should exceed his season averages in all defensive actions (aerials, tackles, interceptions) and offers upside since he won’t lose points for goals conceded because of his positional classification.  Expected him to score 8-12 fantasy points and offer fifth midfielder value in GW18.  

 

 

 

Scott Arfield, Burnley (5 percent):   Arfield comes into GW18 with strong performances the last two matches. The winger played a hand on each of Burnley’s goals in victories over Watford and Stoke City, scoring the winner in GW16 and assisting on Ashley Barnes’ strike at the midweek.  Arfield has been thrust into the starting XI as the replacement for Robbie Brady, and while he does not offer the same value as Brady, he could useful for managers needing a one-week option.  The Canadian international is a goal/assist dependent midfielder, but Brighton have conceded nine goals in their last three matches and allowed the six-most shots on target per game (14.5). Consider Arfield an option for 12-team leagues.  

 

 

 

Jack Wilshere, Arsenal (23 percent):   Aaron Ramsey missed the midweek draw against West Ham and has been ruled out of GW18.  While it's not a given, Wilshere could once again deputize for the visit of Newcastle on Saturday.  The England international was one of Arsenal’s top performers in GW17, completing 91.8% of his passes and four successful dribbles.  Meanwhile, Newcastle have conceded more goals than other club in the last six matches (16).  If Wilshere starts, he’s a top-30 play.  


 

Forwards

 

 

 

Marko Arnautovic, West Ham (42 percent):   This is a great matchup for Arnautovic, as Stoke City have allowed an average of 25.75 points per game to forwards since GW14 and conceded six goals to the position in that span. Arnautovic has gotten off to a slow start at West Ham, but since GW12 he has registered more shots on target than any other Hammer (6) and the Potters are allowing the second-most shots at home this season (13.6). I like Arnautovic as third forward play with top-10 upside against his former club in GW18.  




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